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U. Catolica vs Tecnico U. - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ecuador Ecuador

Liga Pro Estadio Olímpico Atahualpa, Quito
U. Catolica Logo

U. Catolica

5 - 0
FT
Tecnico U. Logo

Tecnico U.

Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Cordova L.
7' Event
Fajardo J.
(Penalty)
12' Event
Chilla R.
Own Goal
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Pro game between U. Catolica and Tecnico U. finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward U. Catolica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
U. Catolica
20%
Draws
33%
Tecnico U.
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • U. Catolica carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives U. Catolica a 47% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 68%
Tecnico U. Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Catolica Tecnico U.
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 10
Draws 6 1
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.72 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.1 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Tecnico U.
5:0
Apr 12, 2026 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs U. Catolica
0:2
Aug 24, 2025 Liga Pro
U. Catolica vs Tecnico U.
2:0
May 3, 2025 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs U. Catolica
1:1
Nov 4, 2024 Liga Pro
Tecnico U. vs U. Catolica
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Fajardo J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Londono A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Tecnico U. Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Catolica 50 / 100
Tecnico U. 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Catolica Tecnico U.

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Catolica Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 7:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. Catolica's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Tecnico U.'s defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Recent resilience: U. Catolica stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

U. Catolica VS Tecnico U.
1.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

U. Catolica

(Home)
20 Sept
LDU Quito
2 : 1
U. Catolica
15 Sept
U. Catolica
2 : 1
Orense
10 Sept
Astillero
0 : 1
U. Catolica
06 Sept
Delfin
0 : 1
U. Catolica
03 Sept
U. Catolica
1 : 1
Aucas
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Tecnico U.

(Away)
20 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 1
Delfin
13 Sept
Leones del Norte
0 : 1
Tecnico U.
05 Sept
Tecnico U.
1 : 3
LDU Quito
01 Sept
Delfin
1 : 0
Tecnico U.
29 Aug
Tecnico U.
3 : 1
Dep. Cuenca
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Independiente del Valle 30 24 2 4 73:33 74
2 U. Catolica 30 14 9 7 51:27 51
3 Macara 30 15 6 9 41:33 51
4 Aucas 30 14 8 8 33:28 50
5 LDU Quito 30 13 7 10 31:24 46
6 Barcelona SC 30 11 11 8 32:25 44
7 Libertad 30 11 8 11 33:34 41
8 Leones del Norte 30 10 9 11 31:32 39
9 Guayaquil City 30 10 9 11 33:36 39
10 Emelec 30 10 9 11 25:34 39
11 Mushuc Runa 30 9 11 10 35:38 38
12 Dep. Cuenca 30 10 6 14 25:37 36
13 Orense 30 9 6 15 36:47 33
14 Tecnico U. 30 10 2 18 28:42 32
15 Delfin 30 7 7 16 19:31 28
16 Manta 30 5 6 19 17:42 21
Promotion - Liga Pro (Championship Group)
Promotion - Liga Pro (Placement Group)
Relegation - Liga Pro (Relegation Group)