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U. De Chile vs La Serena - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Chile Chile

Copa de la Liga Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago de Chile
U. De Chile Logo

U. De Chile

2 - 2
FT
La Serena Logo

La Serena

Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Guerrero Pena M. G.
Assist: Vasquez Gonzalez I. A.
28' Event
Chamorro F.
40' Event
Chamorro F.
Assist: Rubio D.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-5. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
U. De Chile
20%
Draws
40%
La Serena
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • La Serena haven't matched U. De Chile's recent run of results.
  • U. De Chile are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • U. De Chile have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor U. De Chile, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
U. De Chile Clean Sheet 20%
La Serena Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. De Chile La Serena
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 17 7
Draws 6 9
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.87 1.38
Goals Conceded 1 2.1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga de Primera
La Serena vs U. De Chile
0:3
May 2, 2026 Copa de la Liga
La Serena vs U. De Chile
0:5
Apr 5, 2026 Liga de Primera
U. De Chile vs La Serena
4:0
Mar 20, 2026 Copa de la Liga
U. De Chile vs La Serena
2:2
Sep 28, 2025 Liga de Primera
La Serena vs U. De Chile
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. De Chile Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerrero Pena M. G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vargas E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

La Serena Compare

Top Goalscorer Chamorro F.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. De Chile 49 / 100
La Serena 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. De Chile La Serena

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. De Chile Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. De Chile found the back of the net in 80% of recent matches (30 games).

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

La Serena's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

U. De Chile went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

U. De Chile VS La Serena
2 Goals Scored 1.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

U. De Chile

(Home)
07 Oct
Antofagasta
2 : 0
U. De Chile
27 Sept
U. De Chile
1 : 1
Everton
27 Sept
Everton
0 : 1
U. De Chile
13 Sept
La Serena
0 : 3
U. De Chile
06 Sept
U. De Chile
4 : 2
Coquimbo
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La Serena

(Away)
13 Sept
La Serena
0 : 3
U. De Chile
06 Sept
La Serena
2 : 1
Nublense
31 Aug
Union La Calera
0 : 1
La Serena
23 Aug
La Serena
3 : 3
Cobresal
14 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2
La Serena
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
2 Colo Colo 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 D. Concepcion 6 0 1 5 6:13 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 U. Catolica 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
4 Cobresal 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Higgins 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Everton 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 Limache 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Palestino 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union La Calera 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 A. Italiano 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 U. De Chile 6 2 2 2 12:7 8
4 La Serena 6 0 1 5 6:18 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)