Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos, Santiago de Chile

U. De Chile

4 - 1

S. Wanderers

Our Tip

Match Events

17'

Navarro L.

22'

Valenzuela C.

Own Goal

36'

Fernandez N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 4-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

U. De Chile

15%

Draws

45%

S. Wanderers

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: S. Wanderers

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence

Look at the last few games and U. De Chile come out ahead of S. Wanderers on wins alone.
Model gives U. De Chile a 40% chance of winning this.
U. De Chile have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor U. De Chile, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
U. De Chile have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

U. De Chile Clean Sheet 20%

S. Wanderers Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	U. De Chile	S. Wanderers
Matches Played	28	29
Wins	16	13
Draws	5	8
Losses	7	8
Goals Scored	1.93	1.59
Goals Conceded	1	1.41
Expected Goals (xG)	1.56	1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Copa Chile

S. Wanderers vs U. De Chile

2:3

Jun 21, 2026 Copa Chile

U. De Chile vs S. Wanderers

4:1

Sep 29, 2021 Liga de Primera

S. Wanderers vs U. De Chile

2:1

May 4, 2021 Liga de Primera

U. De Chile vs S. Wanderers

1:0

Nov 15, 2020 Liga de Primera

U. De Chile vs S. Wanderers

3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. De Chile Compare

Top Goalscorer Guerrero Pena M. G.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Arce A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.2

Avg xA / game 0.78

S. Wanderers Compare

Top Goalscorer Camarda M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. De Chile 49 / 100

S. Wanderers 22 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

U. De Chile S. Wanderers

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. De Chile Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Attacking prowess: U. De Chile scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.

S. Wanderers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

U. De Chile has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

U. De Chile VS S. Wanderers

2.13 Goals Scored 1.13

1 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 63%

75% Over 2.5 38%

25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

U. De Chile

(Home)

13 Sept

La Serena

0 : 3

U. De Chile

06 Sept

U. De Chile

4 : 2

Coquimbo

30 Aug

U. De Concepcion

2 : 1

U. De Chile

23 Aug

U. De Chile

1 : 2

Colo Colo

15 Aug

Limache

1 : 3

U. De Chile

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S. Wanderers

(Away)

08 Sept

Deportes Temuco

3 : 0

S. Wanderers

04 Sept

S. Wanderers

1 : 0

Deportes Iquique

29 Aug

S. Wanderers

2 : 1

Magallanes

24 Aug

San Luis

0 : 1

S. Wanderers

16 Aug

S. Wanderers

1 : 1

D. Puerto Montt

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