Sport Picks

Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos

San Felipe

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

U. De Chile play San Felipe in the Copa Chile. It looks like a close match. Recently, U. De Chile averaged 1.55 goals scored and 1.07 conceded. San Felipe averaged 0.97 goals scored and 1.62 conceded. In past meetings, U. De Chile won 5, San Felipe won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Jun 28, 2026 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for U. De Chile and 1.19 for San Felipe. This points to a U. De Chile double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%

U. De Chile

18%

Draws

27%

San Felipe

Draw rate projection: 18% Favored: U. De Chile

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence

U. De Chile picked up more points recently compared to San Felipe.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 71%

Over 2.5 Goals 46%

Over 3.5 Goals 28%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41%

U. De Chile Clean Sheet 20%

San Felipe Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 64%

Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	U. De Chile	San Felipe
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	12	8
Draws	9	6
Losses	8	15
Goals Scored	1.55	0.97
Goals Conceded	1.07	1.62
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 28, 2026 Copa Chile

U. De Chile vs San Felipe

Possession: 52% - 44% Cards: 2 - 0

2:0

Sep 1, 2012 Liga de Primera

U. De Chile vs San Felipe

Possession: 46% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Mar 23, 2012 Liga de Primera

San Felipe vs U. De Chile

Possession: 57% - 41% Cards: 0 - 1

0:1

Sep 10, 2011 Liga de Primera

San Felipe vs U. De Chile

Possession: 42% - 52% Cards: 2 - 2

0:3

Jul 17, 2011 Copa Chile

U. De Chile vs San Felipe

Possession: 42% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. De Chile Compare

Top Goalscorer Lucero J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Arce A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

San Felipe Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. De Chile 54 / 100

San Felipe 26 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

U. De Chile San Felipe

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. De Chile Win (1)

Secondary Pick U. De Chile & Under 3.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +17.1%

2.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +15%

2.50

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

U. De Chile attacking → ← attacking San Felipe

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. De Chile scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

San Felipe let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

U. De Chile went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

San Felipe lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

45 Points in last 5 30

1.88 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.00

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coquimbo	5	2	3	0	7:3	9
2	Deportes Iquique	5	2	2	1	9:5	8
3	Limache	5	2	2	1	10:8	8
4	San Marcos de Arica	5	0	1	4	2:12	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. Catolica	6	5	0	1	14:9	15
2	Everton	6	2	2	2	10:9	8
3	San Luis	6	1	3	2	11:10	6
4	Copiapo	6	1	1	4	3:10	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Antofagasta	5	4	1	0	11:5	13
2	La Serena	5	2	1	2	7:9	7
3	Cobreloa	5	1	2	2	6:6	5
4	Cobresal	5	0	2	3	2:6	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	U. De Chile	5	3	1	1	12:7	10
2	Union La Calera	5	2	2	1	9:6	8
3	San Felipe	5	2	1	2	6:7	7
4	S. Wanderers	5	1	0	4	7:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Colo Colo	5	3	1	1	12:8	10
2	O Higgins	5	2	2	1	10:7	8
3	Recoleta	5	1	2	2	5:8	5
4	U. Espanola	5	1	1	3	4:8	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nublense	5	3	1	1	8:5	10
2	Curico Unido	5	2	2	1	7:6	8
3	Rangers	5	2	0	3	4:6	6
4	U. De Concepcion	5	1	1	3	7:9	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Deportes Santa Cruz	6	4	1	1	11:6	13
2	A. Italiano	6	4	0	2	9:7	12
3	Palestino	6	3	1	2	12:9	10
4	Magallanes	6	0	0	6	5:15	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D. Puerto Montt	5	3	1	1	8:4	10
2	D. Concepcion	5	3	1	1	8:6	10
3	Deportes Temuco	5	1	2	2	4:7	5
4	Huachipato	5	1	0	4	6:9	3