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U. De Concepcion vs Rangers

Chile Chile

Copa Chile Estadio Ester Roa
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Castro M.
18'
Acuna S.
33'
Mesias C.

AI Match Summary

The Copa Chile game between U. De Concepcion and Rangers finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward U. De Concepcion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
U. De Concepcion
39%
Draws
31%
Rangers
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and U. De Concepcion come out ahead of Rangers on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • European nights carry their own weight — this Copa Chile fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
U. De Concepcion Clean Sheet 20%
Rangers Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. De Concepcion Rangers
Matches Played 34 31
Wins 13 6
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 20
Goals Scored 1.13 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 5, 2026 Copa Chile
U. De Concepcion vs Rangers
2:0
Jun 20, 2026 Copa Chile
Rangers vs U. De Concepcion
2:1
Sep 6, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Rangers vs U. De Concepcion
0:1
May 2, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
U. De Concepcion vs Rangers
0:0
Oct 5, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
U. De Concepcion vs Rangers
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. De Concepcion Compare

Top Goalscorer Mater F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salgado H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Rangers Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. De Concepcion 31 / 100
Rangers 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. De Concepcion Rangers

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CON Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Rangers's defensive record shows goals conceded in 90% of 31 matches.

U. De Concepcion found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (34 games).

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Difficult form: Rangers registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

U. De Concepcion VS Rangers
1.13 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Coquimbo52307:39
2Deportes Iquique52219:58
3Limache522110:88
4San Marcos de Arica50142:121
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. Catolica650114:915
2Everton622210:98
3San Luis613211:106
4Copiapo61143:104
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Antofagasta651012:516
2Cobreloa62227:68
3La Serena62137:107
4Cobresal60242:72
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1U. De Chile531112:710
2Union La Calera52219:68
3San Felipe52126:77
4S. Wanderers51047:143
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo531112:810
2O Higgins522110:78
3Recoleta51225:85
4U. Espanola51134:84
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Nublense53118:510
2Curico Unido52217:68
3Rangers52034:66
4U. De Concepcion51137:94
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Deportes Santa Cruz641111:613
2A. Italiano64029:712
3Palestino631212:910
4Magallanes60065:150
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1D. Concepcion641110:613
2D. Puerto Montt63128:610
3Huachipato62047:96
4Deportes Temuco61234:85