Sport Picks

Stadium Background

U. De Concepcion vs U. Catolica

Chile Chile

Copa de la Liga Estadio Ester Roa, Concepción
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Urzi A.
Assist: Fuentealba J.
11'
Gonzalez O.
11'
Waterman C.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 2-2. This leg finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

17%
U. De Concepcion
15%
Draws
68%
U. Catolica
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: U. Catolica

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

68% / High Confidence
  • U. Catolica have won more games recently than U. De Concepcion.
  • Win probability leans U. Catolica's way, sitting at 90%.
  • U. Catolica arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor U. Catolica, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
U. De Concepcion Clean Sheet 14%
U. Catolica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. De Concepcion U. Catolica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 6 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 19 6
Goals Scored 0.93 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.83 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2026 Liga de Primera
U. Catolica vs U. De Concepcion
5:1
May 3, 2026 Copa de la Liga
U. De Concepcion vs U. Catolica
2:2
Mar 22, 2026 Copa de la Liga
U. Catolica vs U. De Concepcion
2:1
Feb 14, 2021 Liga de Primera
U. De Concepcion vs U. Catolica
1:2
Oct 10, 2020 Liga de Primera
U. Catolica vs U. De Concepcion
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. De Concepcion Compare

Top Goalscorer Urzi A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Retamal D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

U. Catolica Compare

Top Goalscorer Corral D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. De Concepcion 10 / 100
U. Catolica 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. De Concepcion U. Catolica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Catolica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

U. De Concepcion found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

U. Catolica let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: U. De Concepcion remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

U. De Concepcion VS U. Catolica
0.63 Goals Scored 1.5
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

U. De Concepcion

(Home)
06 Sept
Palestino
2 : 1
U. De Concepcion
02 Sept
Coquimbo
1 : 0
U. De Concepcion
30 Aug
U. De Concepcion
2 : 1
U. De Chile
24 Aug
Everton
3 : 1
U. De Concepcion
14 Aug
U. De Concepcion
0 : 2
La Serena
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U. Catolica

(Away)
12 Sept
Palestino
2 : 3
U. Catolica
05 Sept
Everton
0 : 1
U. Catolica
01 Sept
U. Catolica
3 : 2
O Higgins
26 Aug
Coquimbo
1 : 2
U. Catolica
23 Aug
U. Catolica
1 : 2
Nublense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Coquimbo 6 4 2 0 9:5 14
2 Colo Colo 6 3 1 2 8:5 10
3 Huachipato 6 2 2 2 6:6 8
4 D. Concepcion 6 0 1 5 6:13 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nublense 6 4 2 0 9:3 14
2 U. Catolica 6 3 2 1 13:7 11
3 U. De Concepcion 6 1 1 4 7:11 4
4 Cobresal 6 1 1 4 6:14 4
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 O Higgins 6 4 2 0 11:6 14
2 Everton 6 2 1 3 8:9 7
3 Limache 6 1 3 2 7:8 6
4 Palestino 6 1 2 3 9:12 5
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union La Calera 6 4 1 1 7:3 13
2 A. Italiano 6 3 2 1 12:9 11
3 U. De Chile 6 2 2 2 12:7 8
4 La Serena 6 0 1 5 6:18 1
Promotion - Copa de la Liga (Play Offs)