Sport Picks

Stadium Background

U. Espanola vs D. Puerto Montt

Chile Chile

Liga de Ascenso Estadio Santa Laura-Universidad SEK
Our Tip

Match Events

8'
Ojeda U.
32'
Castillo G.
37' Event
Contreras K.

AI Match Summary

The Liga de Ascenso game between U. Espanola and D. Puerto Montt finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward U. Espanola.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
U. Espanola
22%
Draws
60%
D. Puerto Montt
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: D. Puerto Montt

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and D. Puerto Montt come out ahead of U. Espanola on wins alone.
  • D. Puerto Montt are the model's pick here, at 60%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
U. Espanola Clean Sheet 16%
D. Puerto Montt Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Espanola D. Puerto Montt
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 8 17
Draws 7 3
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.25 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 20, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
U. Espanola vs D. Puerto Montt
2:1
Jun 27, 2021 Copa Chile
U. Espanola vs D. Puerto Montt
2:3
Jun 23, 2021 Copa Chile
D. Puerto Montt vs U. Espanola
0:2
Oct 11, 2010 Copa Chile
D. Puerto Montt vs U. Espanola
2:1
Nov 16, 2008 Liga de Ascenso
U. Espanola vs D. Puerto Montt
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. Espanola Compare

Top Goalscorer Contreras K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Nunez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

D. Puerto Montt Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Espanola 19 / 100
D. Puerto Montt 68 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Espanola D. Puerto Montt

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PUE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

U. Espanola found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

D. Puerto Montt has conceded goals in 61% of their last 28 outings.

U. Espanola went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

U. Espanola VS D. Puerto Montt
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Cobreloa1585230:1729
2S. Wanderers1575329:1826
3San Marcos de Arica1567219:1125
4Deportes Temuco1565426:1823
5Antofagasta1565422:1623
6San Luis1565424:2123
7D. Puerto Montt1572617:1623
8U. Espanola1564521:1922
9Magallanes1564524:2422
10Recoleta1564524:2422
11Copiapo1564521:2322
12Curico Unido1546516:2418
13San Felipe1544713:2716
14Deportes Iquique1527619:2313
15Deportes Santa Cruz1526719:2612
16Rangers15031211:283