Sport Picks

Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 Centro Desportivo da Madeira, Ribeira Brava

U. Madeira

1 - 0

FC Cesarense

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato de Portugal - Group B 2018/2019 game between U. Madeira and FC Cesarense finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward U. Madeira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%

U. Madeira

11%

Draws

FC Cesarense

Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: U. Madeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence

Look at the last few games and U. Madeira come out ahead of FC Cesarense on wins alone.
U. Madeira are the model's pick here, at 80%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 50%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%

U. Madeira Clean Sheet 68%

FC Cesarense Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	U. Madeira	FC Cesarense
Matches Played	15	30
Wins	5	2
Draws	1	12
Losses	9	16
Goals Scored	0.25	0
Goals Conceded	3.25	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 10, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

U. Madeira vs FC Cesarense

1:0

Nov 7, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B

FC Cesarense vs U. Madeira

0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Madeira 86 / 100

FC Cesarense 12 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

U. Madeira FC Cesarense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAD Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: FC Cesarense conceded in 87% of 30 recent games.

U. Madeira found the back of the net in 53% of recent matches (15 games).

These sides typically produce 1.00 goals when they meet.

U. Madeira went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

U. Madeira VS -

0.25 Goals Scored 0

3.25 Goals Conceded 0

100% Over 1.5 0%

75% Over 2.5 0%

38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

U. Madeira

(Home)

21 Nov

U. Madeira

0 : 3

Merelinense

14 Nov

Camacha

5 : 0

U. Madeira

07 Nov

U. Madeira

1 : 1

SC Vianense

01 Nov

U. Madeira

0 : 2

Maritimo B

24 Oct

U. Madeira

0 : 3

Forjaes

Page 1 of 3

FC Cesarense

(Away)

12 May

FC Cesarense

0 : 0

Amarante FC

05 May

Cinfaes

0 : 2

FC Cesarense

28 Apr

FC Cesarense

1 : 4

SC Espinho

20 Apr

Maritimo B

2 : 2

FC Cesarense

14 Apr

FC Cesarense

0 : 4

Lusitano FCV

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League Standings

Scroll horizontally →

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	SC Espinho	34	20	9	5	52:20	69
2	Lusitania FC	34	19	12	3	52:27	69
3	Gondomar	34	18	10	6	50:22	64
4	Agueda	34	16	12	6	43:26	60
5	Lusitano FCV	34	17	8	9	59:28	59
6	Sanjoanense	34	15	10	9	44:34	55
7	Amarante FC	34	15	9	10	45:28	54
8	Coimbroes	34	13	10	11	43:39	49
9	Maritimo B	34	12	13	9	53:40	49
10	Paredes	34	13	7	14	42:33	46
11	U. Madeira	34	12	8	14	28:35	44
12	Leca	34	12	7	15	34:41	43
13	Pedras Rubras	34	9	15	10	36:43	42
14	Cinfaes	34	11	8	15	33:40	41
15	Gafanha	34	11	4	19	46:69	37
16	Penalva do Castelo	34	7	7	20	27:66	28
17	FC Cesarense	34	4	13	17	37:55	25
18	Meda	34	0	2	32	21:99	2

Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2018/2019 (Play Offs)