Sport Picks

Stadium Background

U. Madeira vs Pedras Rubras

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 Centro Desportivo da Madeira, Ribeira Brava
U. Madeira Logo

U. Madeira

Sun, Feb 21, 2021
VS
04:00 PM
Pedras Rubras Logo

Pedras Rubras

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

U. Madeira host Pedras Rubras in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021. Pedras Rubras are expected to control this from the start. Pedras Rubras have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while U. Madeira have conceded 3.78 and scored 0.33. Past meetings favor U. Madeira slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 21, 2021, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.72 vs 2.13, favoring Pedras Rubras. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
U. Madeira
15%
Draws
0%
Pedras Rubras
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: U. Madeira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pedras Rubras come out ahead of U. Madeira on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans U. Madeira's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
U. Madeira Clean Sheet 10%
Pedras Rubras Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. Madeira Pedras Rubras
Matches Played 9 20
Wins 0 6
Draws 1 2
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 0.33 0.8
Goals Conceded 3.78 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 0.72 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
U. Madeira vs Pedras Rubras
0:0
Dec 16, 2020 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
Pedras Rubras vs U. Madeira
0:0
Mar 31, 2019 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
Pedras Rubras vs U. Madeira
0:0
Nov 11, 2018 Campeonato de Portugal - Group B
U. Madeira vs Pedras Rubras
2:1
Oct 21, 2012 Taça de Portugal
Pedras Rubras vs U. Madeira
3:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. Madeira 83 / 100
Pedras Rubras 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. Madeira Pedras Rubras

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick U. Madeira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pedras Rubras let in goals in 85% of their last 20 matches.

Pedras Rubras lost 5 of their last 5 games.

H2H data points to 1.60 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: U. Madeira scored in 33% of their last 9 outings.

Scoring Trends

U. Madeira VS -
0.25 Goals Scored 0
3.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

U. Madeira

(Home)
21 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 3
Merelinense
14 Nov
Camacha
5 : 0
U. Madeira
07 Nov
U. Madeira
1 : 1
SC Vianense
01 Nov
U. Madeira
0 : 2
Maritimo B
24 Oct
U. Madeira
0 : 3
Forjaes
Page 1 of 2

Pedras Rubras

(Away)
11 Apr
Pedras Rubras
0 : 1
SC Vila Real
03 Apr
SC Salgueiros
3 : 1
Pedras Rubras
14 Mar
Pedras Rubras
0 : 1
Maritimo B
07 Mar
Coimbroes
2 : 0
Pedras Rubras
28 Feb
Pedras Rubras
1 : 3
Gondomar
Page 1 of 4

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Braga B 22 17 4 1 61:12 55
2 Merelinense 22 15 3 4 34:13 48
3 CDC Montalegre 22 10 8 4 36:24 38
4 SC Mirandela 22 9 8 5 24:16 35
5 Maria de Fonte 22 9 5 8 30:29 32
6 SC Vianense 22 9 5 8 26:28 32
7 Vilaverdense FC 22 7 7 8 28:30 28
8 Pedras Salgadas 22 6 8 8 19:23 26
9 Vidago 22 6 5 11 27:36 23
10 GD Braganca 22 4 8 10 16:25 20
11 Cerveira 22 3 6 13 11:27 15
12 Aguia Vimioso 22 1 5 16 12:61 8
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Camacha 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Mondinense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Tirsense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 AD Fafe 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 FC Felgueiras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Brito 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Vitoria Guimaraes B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Sao Martinho 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Rio Ave B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Berco 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Pevidem 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gondomar 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Trofense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 U. Madeira 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Leca 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Coimbroes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Paredes 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Amarante FC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Camara de Lobos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 SC Salgueiros 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 SC Vila Real 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Maritimo B 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Pedras Rubras 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Vitoria Setubal 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
2 Olhanense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
3 Juv. Evora 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
4 Louletano 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
5 Aljustrelense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
6 Pinhalnovense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
7 Esperanca de Lagos 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
8 Moura AC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
9 Lusitano GC 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
10 Amora 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
11 Moncarapachense 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
12 Armacenenses 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2020/2021 (Qualification)