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U. San Martin vs AD Cantolao - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Villa Deportiva USMP, Lima
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Cabello D.
Own Goal
45' Event
Crisostomo E.
49'
Gomez J.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
U. San Martin
30%
Draws
29%
AD Cantolao
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: U. San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • U. San Martin have won more games recently than AD Cantolao.
  • Win probability leans U. San Martin's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 17%
AD Cantolao Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. San Martin AD Cantolao
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 8
Draws 5 7
Losses 13 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs AD Cantolao
2:2
Jun 20, 2026 Copa de la Liga
AD Cantolao vs U. San Martin
4:3
May 31, 2026 Liga 2
AD Cantolao vs U. San Martin
0:4
Sep 7, 2025 Liga 2
AD Cantolao vs U. San Martin
1:0
Aug 3, 2025 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs AD Cantolao
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Sanchez K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

AD Cantolao Compare

Top Goalscorer Crisostomo E.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Salem J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. San Martin 36 / 100
AD Cantolao 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. San Martin AD Cantolao

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.40 goals as a typical output.

U. San Martin scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

AD Cantolao's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

U. San Martin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

U. San Martin VS AD Cantolao
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

U. San Martin

(Home)
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0
U. San Martin
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0
U. San Martin
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
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AD Cantolao

(Away)
07 Oct
AD Cantolao
0 : 3
Santos FC
25 Sept
Binacional
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
05 Sept
AD Cantolao
3 : 2
Llacuabamba
29 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0
AD Cantolao
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 16 9 5 2 19:5 32
2 Carlos Mannucci 16 9 3 4 22:12 30
3 Llacuabamba 16 8 4 4 23:10 28
4 Pirata 16 7 4 5 25:20 25
5 U. San Martin 16 7 3 6 26:17 24
6 ADA Jaen 16 6 6 4 17:12 24
7 Cesar Vallejo 15 5 4 6 14:13 19
8 AD Cantolao 16 3 5 8 19:30 14
9 San Marcos 15 0 0 15 1:47 0
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Comerciantes FC 16 6 8 2 24:15 26
2 Tacna Heroica 16 7 5 4 20:16 26
3 Union Minas 16 6 7 3 25:12 25
4 Sport Huancayo 2 16 7 3 6 21:15 24
5 Alianza Huanuco 16 6 5 5 20:17 23
6 Ayacucho 16 6 4 6 22:19 22
7 Santos FC 16 6 3 7 19:22 21
8 Estudiantil CNI 16 4 5 7 25:21 17
9 Binacional 16 2 4 10 10:49 10
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)