Sport Picks
U. San Martin vs ADA Jaen - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Peru
Liga 2 Villa Deportiva USMP, Lima 
Match Events
21'
21'
Tecilla N.
22'
22'
30'
30'
Ismodes D.
AI Match Summary
U. San Martin in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored U. San Martin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: ADA Jaen
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: U. San Martin at 1.52 per game, ADA Jaen at 1.03.
- Model gives ADA Jaen a 52% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 20%
ADA Jaen Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | U. San Martin | ADA Jaen |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 32 |
| Wins | 11 | 11 |
| Draws | 5 | 13 |
| Losses | 13 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.25 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 16, 2026 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs ADA Jaen
3:1
May 3, 2026 Liga 2
ADA Jaen vs U. San Martin
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
U. San Martin Compare
Top Goalscorer Ismodes D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Lopez C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63
ADA Jaen Compare
Top Goalscorer Rodriguez F.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
U. San Martin 10 / 100
ADA Jaen 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
U. San Martin ADA Jaen
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick ADA Jaen Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Games between these two average 4.00 goals.
U. San Martin found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).
U. San Martin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Defensive concern: ADA Jaen conceded in 53% of 32 recent games.
Scoring Trends
U. San Martin VS ADA Jaen
1.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
U. San Martin
(Home) 06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1 Alianza Huanuco
26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0 U. San Martin
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2 AD Cantolao
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0 U. San Martin
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0 Cesar Vallejo
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1 Alianza Huanuco
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2 AD Cantolao
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0 Cesar Vallejo
16 Aug
U. San Martin
3 : 1 ADA Jaen
25 Jul
U. San Martin
2 : 0 Carlos Mannucci
Page 1 of 3
ADA Jaen
(Away) 07 Oct
Sport Huancayo 2
0 : 1 ADA Jaen
25 Sept
ADA Jaen
0 : 0 Llacuabamba
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0 Union Comercio
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1 ADA Jaen
29 Aug
ADA Jaen
3 : 0 San Marcos
Page 1 of 7
07 Oct
Sport Huancayo 2
0 : 1 ADA Jaen
05 Sept
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 1 ADA Jaen
16 Aug
U. San Martin
3 : 1 ADA Jaen
02 Aug
Carlos Mannucci
2 : 0 ADA Jaen
19 Jul
AD Cantolao
0 : 0 ADA Jaen
Page 1 of 4
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 19:5 | 32 |
| 2 | Carlos Mannucci | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 22:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Llacuabamba | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Pirata | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 5 | U. San Martin | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:17 | 24 |
| 6 | ADA Jaen | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17:12 | 24 |
| 7 | Cesar Vallejo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14:13 | 19 |
| 8 | AD Cantolao | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19:30 | 14 |
| 9 | San Marcos | 15 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1:47 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comerciantes FC | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:15 | 26 |
| 2 | Tacna Heroica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | 26 |
| 3 | Union Minas | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sport Huancayo 2 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Alianza Huanuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:17 | 23 |
| 6 | Ayacucho | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | 22 |
| 7 | Santos FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Estudiantil CNI | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 25:21 | 17 |
| 9 | Binacional | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:49 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
