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U. San Martin vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2023 Estadio Alberto Gallardo
Our Tip

Match Events

15'
Suclupe M.
19' Event
Delgado G.
40'
Delgado G.

AI Match Summary

U. San Martin in this Liga 2 2023 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored U. San Martin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
U. San Martin
6%
Draws
4%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: U. San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to U. San Martin lately — more wins on the board than Alfonso Ugarte (Puno).
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on U. San Martin taking it.
  • Regular Liga 2 2023 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 18%
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. San Martin Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 8
Draws 4 9
Losses 14 13
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 31, 2023 Liga 2
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) vs U. San Martin
3:1
Jun 8, 2023 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Delgado G.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bazan H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) Compare

Top Goalscorer Paladines B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. San Martin 85 / 100
Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. San Martin Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAR Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.50 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: U. San Martin scored in 73% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Alfonso Ugarte (Puno) conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

U. San Martin has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

U. San Martin VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Comerciantes Unidos26203354:2263
2Los Chankas26165572:2553
3Alianza Huanuco26156543:2551
4Llacuabamba26137644:3146
5Santos FC26126832:2442
6Comerciantes FC26116927:2639
7U. San Martin261061034:3036
8Deportivo Coopsol261061030:2936
9Juan Aurich26710923:2731
10Union Huaral26591222:3424
11Ayacucho26581337:5023
12Pirata26561522:5921
13Carlos Stein26152026:768
14Alfonso Ugarte (Puno)26691136:4427