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U. San Martin vs Alianza Huanuco - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Villa Deportiva USMP, Lima
U. San Martin Logo

U. San Martin

2 - 1
FT
Alianza Huanuco Logo

Alianza Huanuco

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Lopez C.
11'
Palomino R.
21'
Gut O.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

U. San Martin in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored U. San Martin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
U. San Martin
35%
Draws
19%
Alianza Huanuco
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: U. San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • U. San Martin have won more games recently than Alianza Huanuco.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on U. San Martin taking it.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 16%
Alianza Huanuco Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. San Martin Alianza Huanuco
Matches Played 29 27
Wins 11 9
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.52 1.44
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.33
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 6, 2026 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Alianza Huanuco
2:1
Oct 15, 2023 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs U. San Martin
3:1
Oct 10, 2023 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Alianza Huanuco
2:3
Jul 18, 2023 Liga 2
Alianza Huanuco vs U. San Martin
2:2
Apr 23, 2023 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Alianza Huanuco
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Alianza Huanuco Compare

Top Goalscorer Ortega F.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. San Martin 36 / 100
Alianza Huanuco 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. San Martin Alianza Huanuco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

U. San Martin scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Alianza Huanuco has conceded goals in 70% of their last 27 outings.

Recent resilience: U. San Martin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

U. San Martin VS Alianza Huanuco
1.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

U. San Martin

(Home)
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0
U. San Martin
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0
U. San Martin
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
Page 1 of 6

Alianza Huanuco

(Away)
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2
Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Binacional
0 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
06 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 1
Union Minas
29 Aug
Estudiantil CNI
3 : 0
Alianza Huanuco
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 2 1 0 1 3:4 5
2 Union Minas 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Pirata 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Ayacucho 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llacuabamba 2 1 1 0 4:0 5
2 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Sport Huancayo 2 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Comerciantes FC 2 0 0 2 0:5 2
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carlos Mannucci 2 1 1 0 7:0 6
2 Tacna Heroica 2 0 2 0 2:2 3
3 U. San Martin 2 1 0 1 2:8 3
4 Alianza Huanuco 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams