Sport Picks

Stadium Background

U. San Martin vs Pirata

Peru Peru

Liga 2 2025 Estadio Miguel Grau, Callao
Our Tip

Match Events

20' Event
Cuba R.
22'
Vargas B.
27'
Sub
Huaman B. In: Santos S.
Out: Huaman B.

AI Match Summary

The Liga 2 2025 game between U. San Martin and Pirata finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward U. San Martin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
U. San Martin
30%
Draws
29%
Pirata
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: U. San Martin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

29% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pirata come out ahead of U. San Martin on wins alone.
  • 29% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga 2 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 16%
Pirata Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. San Martin Pirata
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 13 11
Goals Scored 1.5 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.54 1.31
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 20, 2026 Liga 2
Pirata vs U. San Martin
3:2
Mar 28, 2026 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Pirata
1:1
Sep 15, 2025 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Pirata
3:0
Aug 11, 2025 Liga 2
Pirata vs U. San Martin
2:1
Aug 2, 2023 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Pirata
4:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

U. San Martin Compare

Top Goalscorer Cuba R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Vega C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.2
Avg xA / game 0.78

Pirata Compare

Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. San Martin 31 / 100
Pirata 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. San Martin Pirata

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pirata Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

U. San Martin scored in 68% of their last 28 games.

Pirata let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.

Recent resilience: U. San Martin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

U. San Martin VS Pirata
1.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

U. San Martin

(Home)
26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0
U. San Martin
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0
U. San Martin
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
23 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3
U. San Martin
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Pirata

(Away)
06 Oct
Pirata
2 : 0
Ayacucho
27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0
Pirata
13 Sept
Llacuabamba
0 : 0
Pirata
07 Sept
Pirata
2 : 4
Carlos Mannucci
23 Aug
AD Cantolao
1 : 1
Pirata
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