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U. San Martin vs Tacna Heroica - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Peru Peru

Liga 2 Villa Deportiva USMP, Lima
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

U. San Martin host Tacna Heroica in the Liga 2. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. U. San Martin have averaged 1.52 scored and 1.52 conceded recently, against Tacna Heroica's 1.34 scored and 1.28 conceded. Head-to-head, U. San Martin have won 1 to Tacna Heroica's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Jun 14, 2025, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.50 vs 1.38, favoring Tacna Heroica. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
U. San Martin
35%
Draws
30%
Tacna Heroica
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • U. San Martin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Tacna Heroica a 30% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 17%
Tacna Heroica Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric U. San Martin Tacna Heroica
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 11 10
Draws 5 11
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.52 1.34
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 14, 2025 Liga 2
Tacna Heroica vs U. San Martin
2:0
Apr 27, 2025 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Tacna Heroica
2:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

U. San Martin 23 / 100
Tacna Heroica 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
U. San Martin Tacna Heroica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Tacna Heroica Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

U. San Martin found the back of the net in 69% of recent matches (29 games).

Tacna Heroica's defensive record shows goals conceded in 69% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: U. San Martin stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

U. San Martin VS Tacna Heroica
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

U. San Martin

(Home)
06 Oct
U. San Martin
2 : 1
Alianza Huanuco
26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0
U. San Martin
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2
AD Cantolao
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0
U. San Martin
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0
Cesar Vallejo
Page 1 of 6

Tacna Heroica

(Away)
08 Oct
Tacna Heroica
0 : 0
Carlos Mannucci
27 Sept
Alianza Huanuco
2 : 2
Tacna Heroica
12 Sept
Estudiantil CNI
1 : 1
Tacna Heroica
30 Aug
Tacna Heroica
3 : 1
Santos FC
24 Aug
Alianza Huanuco
1 : 0
Tacna Heroica
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Union Comercio 2 1 0 1 3:4 5
2 Union Minas 2 1 0 1 4:2 4
3 Pirata 2 1 0 1 2:2 3
4 Ayacucho 2 1 0 1 1:2 3
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Llacuabamba 2 1 1 0 4:0 5
2 ADA Jaen 2 1 1 0 1:0 4
3 Sport Huancayo 2 2 1 0 1 1:1 3
4 Comerciantes FC 2 0 0 2 0:5 2
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Carlos Mannucci 2 1 1 0 7:0 6
2 Tacna Heroica 2 0 2 0 2:2 3
3 U. San Martin 2 1 0 1 2:8 3
4 Alianza Huanuco 2 0 1 1 3:4 1
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Ranking of third-placed teams