Sport Picks
U. San Martin vs Union Comercio Prediction & H2H Stats
Peru
Liga 2 
Match Events
25'
25'
Alvarez E.
34'
34'
Guerrero G.
40'
40'
Arteaga A.
AI Match Summary
Union Comercio in this Liga 2 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Union Comercio.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
33%
30%
37%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Union Comercio
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to Union Comercio lately — more wins on the board than U. San Martin.
- 37% — that's where the model lands on Union Comercio taking it.
- Regular Liga 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
U. San Martin Clean Sheet 18%
Union Comercio Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | U. San Martin | Union Comercio |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 15 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 13 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.52 | 1.38 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.48 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 6, 2026 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs U. San Martin
1:0
May 23, 2026 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Union Comercio
0:1
Jun 1, 2025 Liga 2
Union Comercio vs U. San Martin
1:2
Apr 12, 2025 Liga 2
U. San Martin vs Union Comercio
1:1
Aug 31, 2019 Liga 1
U. San Martin vs Union Comercio
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
U. San Martin Compare
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56
Union Comercio Compare
Top Goalscorer Goluz Pena B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
U. San Martin 28 / 100
Union Comercio 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
U. San Martin Union Comercio
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Union Comercio Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
U. San Martin's goal record stands at 69% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.
Solid form: U. San Martin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Defensive concern: Union Comercio conceded in 48% of 29 recent games.
Scoring Trends
U. San Martin VS Union Comercio
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.5
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
U. San Martin
(Home) 26 Sept
Carlos Mannucci
7 : 0 U. San Martin
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2 AD Cantolao
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0 U. San Martin
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0 Cesar Vallejo
23 Aug
San Marcos
0 : 3 U. San Martin
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
U. San Martin
2 : 2 AD Cantolao
29 Aug
U. San Martin
2 : 0 Cesar Vallejo
16 Aug
U. San Martin
3 : 1 ADA Jaen
25 Jul
U. San Martin
2 : 0 Carlos Mannucci
13 Jun
U. San Martin
2 : 2 Sport Boys
Page 1 of 3
Union Comercio
(Away) 27 Sept
Union Comercio
2 : 0 Pirata
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0 Union Comercio
06 Sept
Union Comercio
1 : 0 U. San Martin
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1 Union Comercio
23 Aug
Union Comercio
0 : 0 Carlos Mannucci
Page 1 of 6
13 Sept
ADA Jaen
1 : 0 Union Comercio
30 Aug
Llacuabamba
1 : 1 Union Comercio
17 Aug
Pirata
1 : 2 Union Comercio
25 Jul
Cesar Vallejo
0 : 0 Union Comercio
27 Jun
Sporting Cristal
2 : 0 Union Comercio
Page 1 of 3
League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Comercio | 16 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 19:5 | 32 |
| 2 | Carlos Mannucci | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 22:12 | 30 |
| 3 | Llacuabamba | 16 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 23:10 | 28 |
| 4 | Pirata | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 25:20 | 25 |
| 5 | U. San Martin | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 26:17 | 24 |
| 6 | ADA Jaen | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 17:12 | 24 |
| 7 | Cesar Vallejo | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 14:13 | 19 |
| 8 | AD Cantolao | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 19:30 | 14 |
| 9 | San Marcos | 15 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 1:47 | 0 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Comerciantes FC | 16 | 6 | 8 | 2 | 24:15 | 26 |
| 2 | Tacna Heroica | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 20:16 | 26 |
| 3 | Union Minas | 16 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 25:12 | 25 |
| 4 | Sport Huancayo 2 | 16 | 7 | 3 | 6 | 21:15 | 24 |
| 5 | Alianza Huanuco | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20:17 | 23 |
| 6 | Ayacucho | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 22:19 | 22 |
| 7 | Santos FC | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 19:22 | 21 |
| 8 | Estudiantil CNI | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 25:21 | 17 |
| 9 | Binacional | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 10:49 | 10 |
Promotion - Liga 2 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Liga 2 (Relegation Group)
