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UA Zacatecas vs Tigres de Alica

Mexico Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A
Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
16' Event
29' Event

AI Match Summary

Tigres de Alica in this Liga Premier Serie A matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tigres de Alica.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
UA Zacatecas
44%
Draws
20%
Tigres de Alica
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Tigres de Alica lately — more wins on the board than UA Zacatecas.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Liga Premier Serie A form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Tigres de Alica here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.2%
UA Zacatecas Clean Sheet 10%
Tigres de Alica Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UA Zacatecas Tigres de Alica
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 20
Draws 4 3
Losses 17 7
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 29, 2026 Liga Premier Serie A
Tigres de Alica vs UA Zacatecas
3:2
Nov 15, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
UA Zacatecas vs Tigres de Alica
1:4
Jan 26, 2025 Liga Premier Serie A
UA Zacatecas vs Tigres de Alica
3:2
Sep 21, 2024 Liga Premier Serie A
Tigres de Alica vs UA Zacatecas
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UA Zacatecas 34 / 100
Tigres de Alica 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UA Zacatecas Tigres de Alica

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TIG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

UA Zacatecas scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Tigres de Alica let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Solid form: UA Zacatecas remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UA Zacatecas VS Tigres de Alica
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UA Zacatecas

(Home)
11 Apr
UA Zacatecas
4 : 1
Ensenada FC
29 Mar
Tigres de Alica
3 : 2
UA Zacatecas
22 Mar
Zapotlanejo
4 : 2
UA Zacatecas
18 Mar
UA Zacatecas
1 : 0
Tecos
14 Mar
UA Zacatecas
1 : 1
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 6

Tigres de Alica

(Away)
19 Apr
Tigres de Alica
2 : 1
Halcones de Zapopan
15 Apr
Halcones de Zapopan
2 : 0
Tigres de Alica
12 Apr
Los Cabos United
0 : 2
Tigres de Alica
29 Mar
Tigres de Alica
3 : 2
UA Zacatecas
22 Mar
Tigres de Alica
1 : 0
Tritones Vallarta
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Alacranes de Durango26212371:1674
2Tigres de Alica26173646:2556
3Cimarrones de Sonora26157446:1954
4Leones Negros 226162842:2653
5Tecos26144849:3449
6Tritones Vallarta261511032:2746
7Mineros de Fresnillo261141140:4139
8Los Cabos United261131237:4037
9Guerreros de Autlan26851338:4232
10UA Zacatecas26841432:4929
11Ensenada FC26821630:5528
12Reboceros de La Piedad26711839:6623
13Zapotlanejo26611939:7321
14Colima FC26431924:5217
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Apodaca26212347:1966
2FC Santiago26147543:2151
3Zacatepec26128629:1545
4Halcones de Zapopan26116944:2744
5Calor De San Pedro26127737:2644
6Gavilanes de Matamoros26125931:2244
7Lobos ULMX26116933:2840
8Correcaminos 226971027:2536
9Chilpancingo2698933:4135
10Cordobes FC26861229:3030
11Zitacuaro266101022:3128
12CS Canamy26581333:5326
13Ciervos26441820:5018
14Atletico Hidalgo26441822:6216
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Racing de Veracruz24213055:971
2Deportiva Venados24154561:2552
3Tapachula241301151:3544
4Celaya24124842:3243
5Inter Playa Del Carmen24134735:2842
6Montaneses241221035:2838
7Pioneros241031135:3535
8Jaguares De Chiapas24941133:3234
9Heroes de Zaci241021233:4634
10Chapulineros24581121:3323
11Canoneros FC24711625:4922
12Neza FC24521725:7319
13Dragones Toluca24431721:4717
Promotion - Liga Premier Serie A (Play Offs)