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UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Monumental de Villa Lynch, Buenos Aires
Our Tip

Match Events

27'
Martinez J.
49' Event
Odunukwe J.
56'
Sub
Rodriguez V. In: Ciancio V.
Out: Rodriguez V.

AI Match Summary

UAI Urquiza in this Primera B matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored UAI Urquiza.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

54%
UAI Urquiza
30%
Draws
16%
Ituzaingo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UAI Urquiza

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

54% / Medium Confidence
  • UAI Urquiza have won more games recently than Ituzaingo.
  • UAI Urquiza are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
UAI Urquiza Clean Sheet 68%
Ituzaingo Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UAI Urquiza Ituzaingo
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 1
Draws 13 9
Losses 11 19
Goals Scored 0.54 0.76
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.72
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 5, 2026 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingo
3:2
May 22, 2026 Primera B
Ituzaingo vs UAI Urquiza
1:1
Oct 7, 2023 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs Ituzaingo
2:2
Jun 3, 2023 Primera B
Ituzaingo vs UAI Urquiza
1:3
Jun 25, 2022 Primera B
Ituzaingo vs UAI Urquiza
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UAI Urquiza Compare

Top Goalscorer Mesa F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Diaz E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Ituzaingo Compare

Top Goalscorer Odunukwe J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Maza J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UAI Urquiza 77 / 100
Ituzaingo 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UAI Urquiza Ituzaingo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UAI Urquiza Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Ituzaingo conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

UAI Urquiza went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Ituzaingo's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

UAI Urquiza VS Ituzaingo
0.63 Goals Scored 0.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UAI Urquiza

(Home)
05 Oct
UAI Urquiza
3 : 2
Ituzaingo
27 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0
UAI Urquiza
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2
Excursionistas
12 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0
UAI Urquiza
06 Sept
UAI Urquiza
2 : 0
Argentino de Merlo
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Ituzaingo

(Away)
10 Oct
Ituzaingo
2 : 2
Argentino de Quilmes
05 Oct
UAI Urquiza
3 : 2
Ituzaingo
25 Sept
Ituzaingo
0 : 1
Defensores Unidos
19 Sept
Villa Dalmine
3 : 1
Ituzaingo
11 Sept
Ituzaingo
2 : 2
Comunicaciones
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 39 23 8 8 63:30 77
2 Arsenal Sarandi 39 20 12 7 53:26 72
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 39 19 11 9 41:24 68
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 39 17 14 8 39:24 65
6 Deportivo Camioneros 39 17 13 9 44:30 64
7 Deportivo Armenio 39 17 10 12 42:38 61
8 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
9 Comunicaciones 39 14 14 11 39:34 56
10 Laferrere 39 13 13 13 47:51 52
11 San Martin Burzaco 39 12 14 13 40:44 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 39 11 14 14 37:43 47
14 Dep. Merlo 39 10 15 14 37:52 45
15 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 39 9 17 13 32:39 44
17 CSD Liniers 39 10 14 15 32:40 44
18 Flandria 39 11 9 19 35:48 42
19 Defensores Unidos 39 9 14 16 33:40 41
20 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 39 1 13 25 27:64 16
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)