Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Monumental de Villa Lynch, Buenos Aires
Mon, Oct 12, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UAI Urquiza host Real Pilar in the Primera B. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. UAI Urquiza have averaged 0.54 scored and 1.04 conceded recently, against Real Pilar's 0.93 scored and 0.93 conceded. Past meetings favor Real Pilar slightly — 0-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 30, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (0.69 xG vs 1.13) point toward Real Pilar. AI prediction: Away (2) Win — correct score tipped at 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
UAI Urquiza
15%
Draws
48%
Real Pilar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Real Pilar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Real Pilar have won more games recently than UAI Urquiza.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • These two have met 3 times recently and Real Pilar have taken 2 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 21%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 26.8%
UAI Urquiza Clean Sheet 21%
Real Pilar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UAI Urquiza Real Pilar
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 4 11
Draws 13 9
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 0.54 0.93
Goals Conceded 1.04 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 30, 2026 Primera B
Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza
2:1
Sep 8, 2025 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs Real Pilar
0:1
Apr 20, 2025 Primera B
Real Pilar vs UAI Urquiza
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UAI Urquiza 37 / 100
Real Pilar 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UAI Urquiza Real Pilar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Real Pilar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Real Pilar has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.67 goals per match.

UAI Urquiza has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

UAI Urquiza scored in 36% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

UAI Urquiza VS Real Pilar
0.5 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UAI Urquiza

(Home)
05 Oct
UAI Urquiza
3 : 2
Ituzaingo
27 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0
UAI Urquiza
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2
Excursionistas
12 Sept
Arsenal Sarandi
2 : 0
UAI Urquiza
06 Sept
UAI Urquiza
2 : 0
Argentino de Merlo
Page 1 of 6

Real Pilar

(Away)
03 Oct
Real Pilar
2 : 0
Villa Dalmine
25 Sept
Excursionistas
3 : 0
Real Pilar
19 Sept
Real Pilar
2 : 1
Arsenal Sarandi
11 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1
Real Pilar
05 Sept
Real Pilar
0 : 2
Talleres Remedios Escalada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 39 23 8 8 63:30 77
2 Arsenal Sarandi 38 19 12 7 50:25 69
3 Talleres Remedios Escalada 39 19 11 9 41:24 68
4 Sportivo Italiano 38 18 11 9 45:28 65
5 Villa Dalmine 38 17 13 8 38:23 64
6 Deportivo Camioneros 39 17 13 9 44:30 64
7 Real Pilar 38 17 10 11 42:38 61
8 Deportivo Armenio 38 17 9 12 42:38 60
9 Comunicaciones 38 14 13 11 39:34 55
10 Laferrere 38 13 12 13 46:50 51
11 San Martin Burzaco 38 12 14 12 39:41 50
12 Dock Sud 38 11 14 13 40:42 47
13 Villa San Carlos 39 11 14 14 37:43 47
14 Argentino de Merlo 38 11 11 16 33:39 44
15 Dep. Merlo 38 10 14 14 36:51 44
16 Argentino de Quilmes 38 9 16 13 30:37 43
17 CSD Liniers 38 10 13 15 31:39 43
18 Defensores Unidos 38 9 14 15 33:39 41
19 Brown Adrogue 38 8 15 15 24:37 39
20 Flandria 38 10 9 19 34:48 39
21 UAI Urquiza 38 5 20 13 21:35 35
22 Ituzaingo 38 1 12 25 25:62 15
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)