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UAI Urquiza vs Villa San Carlos - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Argentina Argentina

Primera B Monumental de Villa Lynch, Buenos Aires
Mon, Oct 26, 2026
VS
06:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UAI Urquiza host Villa San Carlos in the Primera B. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Recent numbers: UAI Urquiza at 0.59 goals for, 0.97 against; Villa San Carlos at 0.83 for, 0.97 against. Past meetings favor Villa San Carlos slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.06, favoring Villa San Carlos. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
UAI Urquiza
30%
Draws
39%
Villa San Carlos
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Villa San Carlos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Villa San Carlos come out ahead of UAI Urquiza on wins alone.
  • UAI Urquiza are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
UAI Urquiza Clean Sheet 20%
Villa San Carlos Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UAI Urquiza Villa San Carlos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 5 9
Draws 14 11
Losses 10 9
Goals Scored 0.59 0.83
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.97
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs UAI Urquiza
0:0
Sep 15, 2025 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs UAI Urquiza
3:0
Apr 27, 2025 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs Villa San Carlos
1:1
Jun 29, 2024 Primera B
UAI Urquiza vs Villa San Carlos
1:0
Feb 10, 2024 Primera B
Villa San Carlos vs UAI Urquiza
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UAI Urquiza 42 / 100
Villa San Carlos 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UAI Urquiza Villa San Carlos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Recent resilience: UAI Urquiza stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

UAI Urquiza found the back of the net in 41% of recent matches (29 games).

Villa San Carlos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

UAI Urquiza VS Villa San Carlos
0.88 Goals Scored 1
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.5
63% Over 1.5 38%
25% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UAI Urquiza

(Home)
17 Oct
CSD Liniers
1 : 1
UAI Urquiza
12 Oct
UAI Urquiza
1 : 0
Real Pilar
05 Oct
UAI Urquiza
3 : 2
Ituzaingo
27 Sept
Villa Dalmine
0 : 0
UAI Urquiza
19 Sept
UAI Urquiza
1 : 2
Excursionistas
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Villa San Carlos

(Away)
17 Oct
Villa San Carlos
3 : 0
Villa Dalmine
09 Oct
Excursionistas
4 : 0
Villa San Carlos
03 Oct
Villa San Carlos
1 : 0
Arsenal Sarandi
26 Sept
Argentino de Merlo
0 : 1
Villa San Carlos
20 Sept
Villa San Carlos
0 : 0
Talleres Remedios Escalada
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Excursionistas 40 23 9 8 64:31 78
2 Arsenal Sarandi 40 20 13 7 53:26 73
3 Sportivo Italiano 40 19 12 9 47:29 69
4 Talleres Remedios Escalada 40 19 11 10 42:26 68
5 Deportivo Camioneros 40 18 13 9 47:32 67
6 Villa Dalmine 40 17 14 9 39:27 65
7 Deportivo Armenio 40 17 11 12 42:38 62
8 Real Pilar 40 17 11 12 42:39 62
9 Comunicaciones 40 14 15 11 39:34 57
10 Laferrere 40 14 13 13 49:52 55
11 San Martin Burzaco 40 12 15 13 41:45 51
12 Villa San Carlos 40 12 14 14 40:43 50
13 Dep. Merlo 40 11 15 14 39:53 48
14 Dock Sud 40 11 14 15 41:45 47
15 CSD Liniers 40 10 15 15 33:41 45
16 Flandria 40 12 9 19 36:48 45
17 Argentino de Merlo 40 11 11 18 36:44 44
18 Argentino de Quilmes 40 9 17 14 32:40 44
19 Brown Adrogue 40 9 16 15 25:37 43
20 Defensores Unidos 40 9 15 16 33:40 42
21 UAI Urquiza 40 6 21 13 23:36 39
22 Ituzaingo 40 1 14 25 27:64 17
Promotion - Primera Nacional 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C 2027 (Apertura)