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Uberaba vs Caldense

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro 2
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Leandro Cordova
64' Event
Bruno Henrique
90'
Luciano Pereira

AI Match Summary

Uberaba in this Mineiro 2 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Uberaba.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Uberaba
15%
Draws
0%
Caldense
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Uberaba

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Uberaba lately — more wins on the board than Caldense.
  • Win probability leans Uberaba's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Mineiro 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Uberaba Clean Sheet 68%
Caldense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uberaba Caldense
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 13 5
Draws 9 13
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 1.27 0.7
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2026 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs Uberaba
2:3
May 30, 2026 Mineiro 2
Uberaba vs Caldense
2:0
Jun 1, 2025 Mineiro 2
Caldense vs Uberaba
0:0
May 24, 2025 Mineiro 2
Uberaba vs Caldense
3:1
Mar 11, 2012 Mineiro
Uberaba vs Caldense
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uberaba Compare

Top Goalscorer Leandro Cordova
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruno Henrique
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

Caldense Compare

Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uberaba 95 / 100
Caldense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uberaba Caldense

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uberaba Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Difficult form: Caldense registered 5 defeats in their last 5 games.

Uberaba found the back of the net in 73% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Caldense conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Uberaba VS Caldense
1.63 Goals Scored 0.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uberaba

(Home)
25 Jul
Uberaba
0 : 0
Mamore
18 Jul
Mamore
2 : 1
Uberaba
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Uberaba
1 : 0
Mamore
01 Jul
Uberaba
3 : 1
Boa
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Caldense

(Away)
12 Jul
Caldense
2 : 3
Uberaba
05 Jul
Boa
3 : 1
Caldense
01 Jul
Caldense
1 : 2
Patrocinense
27 Jun
Guarani-MG
2 : 0
Caldense
23 Jun
Mamore
1 : 0
Caldense
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Uberaba 10 7 2 1 17:9 23
2 Boa 10 5 2 3 12:9 17
3 Mamore 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
4 Patrocinense 10 3 3 4 9:9 12
5 Guarani-MG 10 3 3 4 12:14 12
6 Caldense 10 1 3 6 6:14 6
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Valeriodoce 10 5 5 0 9:4 20
2 Democrata SL 10 5 2 3 19:10 17
3 Aymores 10 4 4 2 17:9 16
4 Villa Nova AC 10 4 2 4 17:12 14
5 Coimbra Esporte Clube 10 2 4 4 12:12 10
6 Ipatinga 10 1 1 8 6:33 -2
Promotion - Mineiro 2 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Mineiro 3 2027 (Main)