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Uberlandia vs ASA - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Michel Douglas
33' Event
Marcos Calazans

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-1. This leg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Uberlandia
35%
Draws
32%
ASA
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Uberlandia have won more games recently than ASA.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Uberlandia taking it.
  • Uberlandia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 33%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Uberlandia Clean Sheet 18%
ASA Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uberlandia ASA
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 14
Draws 8 11
Losses 7 5
Goals Scored 1.33 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.81 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Serie D
Uberlandia vs ASA
1:1
Sep 6, 2026 Serie D
ASA vs Uberlandia
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uberlandia Compare

Top Goalscorer Marcos Calazans
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.62
Avg xA / game 0.41

ASA Compare

Top Goalscorer Michel Douglas
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uberlandia 41 / 100
ASA 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uberlandia ASA

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uberlandia scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Uberlandia remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Defensive concern: ASA conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Uberlandia VS ASA
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Uberlandia

(Home)
27 Sept
Uberlandia
0 : 4
Mirassol
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1
ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1
Uberlandia
22 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
ABC
Page 1 of 6

ASA

(Away)
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1
ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
30 Aug
Gama
0 : 0
ASA
23 Aug
ASA
2 : 0
Gama
16 Aug
ASA
2 : 1
Goiatuba EC
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3