Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Uberlandia vs Itabirito

Brazil Brazil

Mineiro Estádio Parque do Sabiá, Uberlândia
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Sub
Rafael Conceicao In: Ingro
Out: Rafael Conceicao
46'
Sub
Luis Felipe In: Robinho
Out: Luis Felipe
58'
Luis Araujo

AI Match Summary

The Mineiro game between Uberlandia and Itabirito finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Itabirito.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Uberlandia
20%
Draws
28%
Itabirito
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uberlandia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Itabirito haven't matched Uberlandia's recent run of results.
  • Uberlandia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Uberlandia Clean Sheet 68%
Itabirito Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uberlandia Itabirito
Matches Played 39 30
Wins 18 5
Draws 13 10
Losses 8 15
Goals Scored 1.36 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.85 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 21, 2026 Mineiro
Uberlandia vs Itabirito
0:1
Jun 28, 2025 Serie D
Uberlandia vs Itabirito
4:0
May 18, 2025 Serie D
Itabirito vs Uberlandia
1:3
Jan 26, 2025 Mineiro
Uberlandia vs Itabirito
1:1
Feb 14, 2024 Mineiro
Uberlandia vs Itabirito
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uberlandia Compare

Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61

Itabirito Compare

Top Goalscorer Romario
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uberlandia 95 / 100
Itabirito 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uberlandia Itabirito

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Uberlandia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Recent resilience: Uberlandia stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Uberlandia found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (39 games).

Defensive concern: Itabirito conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.

Scoring Trends

Uberlandia VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
0.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uberlandia

(Home)
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1
ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1
Uberlandia
22 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
ABC
15 Aug
CSA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
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Itabirito

(Away)
14 Feb
Itabirito
2 : 7
Atletico-MG
06 Feb
Betim FC
0 : 2
Itabirito
01 Feb
Itabirito
2 : 3
Tombense
24 Jan
URT
2 : 1
Itabirito
21 Jan
Uberlandia
0 : 1
Itabirito
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico-MG 8 3 5 0 16:8 14
2 URT 8 3 2 3 7:7 11
3 Uberlandia 8 2 3 3 8:12 9
4 Democrata GV 8 2 1 5 3:8 7
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 America MG 8 4 3 1 10:6 15
2 Pouso Alegre 8 4 1 3 14:14 13
3 Tombense 8 3 3 2 10:7 12
4 Betim FC 8 2 3 3 6:9 9
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Cruzeiro 8 5 0 3 14:7 15
2 North Esporte Clube 8 3 2 3 14:11 11
3 Itabirito 8 2 1 5 10:17 7
4 Athletic Club 8 1 4 3 7:13 7
Promotion - Mineiro (Play Offs)