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Uberlandia vs Portuguesa

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Sat, Jul 18, 2026
VS
08:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Uberlandia host Portuguesa in the Serie D. Don't expect fireworks — both sides lean defensive. Portuguesa have shipped 0.63 goals a game lately, while Uberlandia have conceded 0.75 and scored 1.13. Past meetings favor Uberlandia slightly — 2-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 12, 2025, ending 0-1. The numbers (0.88 xG vs 1.06) point toward Portuguesa. Under 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Uberlandia
20%
Draws
38%
Portuguesa
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Uberlandia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portuguesa come out ahead of Uberlandia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Uberlandia's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Uberlandia Clean Sheet 20%
Portuguesa Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uberlandia Portuguesa
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 15
Draws 10 6
Losses 9 7
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 12, 2025 Serie D
Uberlandia vs Portuguesa
0-1
Apr 12, 2025 Serie D
Portuguesa vs Uberlandia
2-1
Mar 12, 2025 Serie D
Uberlandia vs Portuguesa
2-1
Feb 12, 2025 Serie D
Portuguesa vs Uberlandia
0-1
Jan 12, 2025 Serie D
Uberlandia vs Portuguesa
2-2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uberlandia 42 / 100
Portuguesa 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uberlandia Portuguesa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uberlandia's goal record stands at 73% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Portuguesa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Uberlandia has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Uberlandia VS Portuguesa
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube1
Manauara3
Brasiliense0
Goiatuba EC1
Imperatriz2
Maracana1
Central SC1
Ferroviario3
Fluminense-PI0
America RN4
Sampaio Correa2
Trem3
Sao Raimundo RR2
Porto Velho3
Mixto1
Gama3
Monte Roraima3
Guapore4
Ceilandia2
Luverdense3
Parnahyba2
Aguia De Maraba3
AE Altos1
ABC2
Araguaina0
Nacional-AM (Manaus)1
Aparecidense1
Capital5
Tuna Luso2
Iguatu3
Maguary2
Piaui1
Portuguesa RJ4
Noroeste2
EC Sao Jose (PA)3
Santa Catarina2
Jacuipense1
Treze PB3
CRAC1
Tombense0
Serra Branca3
Juazeirense0
Rio Branco ES2
Uberlandia4
Sampaio Correa FE1
Portuguesa2
FC Cascavel3
Marcilio Dias4
Sao Luiz3
Blumenau2
Velo Clube2
Agua Santa1
Lagarto1
CSA3
Vitoria ES1
Betim FC2
America RJ1
Piracicaba3
Sao Joseense1
Cianorte2
ASA2
Sergipe1
Ivinhema4
Democrata GV2
1/16-finals
Manauara2
Goiatuba EC3
Imperatriz1
Ferroviario4
America RN6
Trem2
Porto Velho2
Gama3
Guapore0
Luverdense1
Aguia De Maraba2
ABC4
Nacional-AM (Manaus)2
Capital1
Iguatu5
Maguary3
Portuguesa RJ0
EC Sao Jose (PA)1
Treze PB3
CRAC2
Serra Branca2
Uberlandia3
Portuguesa3
Marcilio Dias1
Sao Luiz4
Velo Clube3
CSA4
Betim FC1
Piracicaba0
Cianorte4
ASA6
Ivinhema1
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC-
Ferroviario-
America RN-
Gama-
Luverdense-
ABC-
Nacional-AM (Manaus)-
Iguatu-
EC Sao Jose (PA)-
Treze PB-
Uberlandia-
Portuguesa-
Sao Luiz-
CSA-
Cianorte-
ASA-
Quarter-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Semi-finals
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Final
TBD-
TBD-