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Uberlandia vs Portuguesa - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Serie D
Our Tip

Match Events

16' Event
Jhonatan Lima
45'
Matheus Cadorini
77' Event
Leo Reis

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 1-0. The second leg ended 2-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Uberlandia
30%
Draws
39%
Portuguesa
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Portuguesa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Portuguesa come out ahead of Uberlandia on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Uberlandia's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Portuguesa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Uberlandia, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 67%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Uberlandia Clean Sheet 68%
Portuguesa Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Uberlandia Portuguesa
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 15 16
Draws 8 6
Losses 7 8
Goals Scored 1.33 1.47
Goals Conceded 0.97 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 0.91 1.01
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Serie D
Portuguesa vs Uberlandia
1:0
Jul 18, 2026 Serie D
Uberlandia vs Portuguesa
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Uberlandia Compare

Top Goalscorer Jhonatan Lima
1 Goals
Assists Leader Leo Reis
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.7
Avg xA / game 0.46

Portuguesa Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Uberlandia 46 / 100
Portuguesa 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Uberlandia Portuguesa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Uberlandia's goal record stands at 80% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Portuguesa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 1.50 goals when they meet.

Uberlandia went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Uberlandia VS Portuguesa
1.25 Goals Scored 1.14
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.57
63% Over 1.5 71%
25% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Uberlandia

(Home)
27 Sept
Uberlandia
0 : 4
Mirassol
13 Sept
Uberlandia
1 : 1
ASA
06 Sept
ASA
0 : 2
Uberlandia
30 Aug
ABC
1 : 1
Uberlandia
22 Aug
Uberlandia
1 : 0
ABC
Page 1 of 6

Portuguesa

(Away)
25 Jul
Portuguesa
1 : 0
Uberlandia
18 Jul
Uberlandia
2 : 0
Portuguesa
11 Jul
Portuguesa
2 : 0
Marcilio Dias
04 Jul
Marcilio Dias
1 : 1
Portuguesa
27 Jun
Portuguesa
1 : 0
Sampaio Correa FE
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Independencia Futebol Clube 1
Manauara 3
Brasiliense 0
Goiatuba EC 1
Imperatriz 2
Maracana 1
Central SC 1
Ferroviario 3
America RJ 1
Piracicaba 3
Sao Joseense 1
Cianorte 2
ASA 2
Sergipe 1
Ivinhema 4
Democrata GV 2
Portuguesa RJ 4
Noroeste 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Santa Catarina 2
Jacuipense 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 1
Tombense 0
Fluminense-PI 0
America RN 4
Sampaio Correa 2
Trem 3
Sao Raimundo RR 2
Porto Velho 3
Mixto 1
Gama 3
Serra Branca 3
Juazeirense 0
Rio Branco ES 2
Uberlandia 4
Sampaio Correa FE 1
Portuguesa 2
FC Cascavel 3
Marcilio Dias 4
Sao Luiz 3
Blumenau 2
Velo Clube 2
Agua Santa 1
Lagarto 1
CSA 3
Vitoria ES 1
Betim FC 2
Araguaina 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
Aparecidense 1
Capital 5
Tuna Luso 2
Iguatu 3
Maguary 2
Piaui 1
Monte Roraima 3
Guapore 4
Ceilandia 2
Luverdense 3
Parnahyba 2
Aguia De Maraba 3
AE Altos 1
ABC 2
1/16-finals
Manauara 2
Goiatuba EC 3
Imperatriz 1
Ferroviario 4
Piracicaba 0
Cianorte 4
ASA 6
Ivinhema 1
Portuguesa RJ 0
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Treze PB 3
CRAC 2
America RN 6
Trem 2
Porto Velho 2
Gama 3
Serra Branca 2
Uberlandia 3
Portuguesa 3
Marcilio Dias 1
Sao Luiz 4
Velo Clube 3
CSA 4
Betim FC 1
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 2
Capital 1
Iguatu 5
Maguary 3
Guapore 0
Luverdense 1
Aguia De Maraba 2
ABC 4
1/8-finals
Goiatuba EC 5
Ferroviario 1
Cianorte 1
ASA 6
EC Sao Jose (PA) 3
Treze PB 2
America RN 3
Gama 4
Uberlandia 2
Portuguesa 1
Sao Luiz 1
CSA 2
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 3
Iguatu 2
Luverdense 1
ABC 4
Quarter-finals
Goiatuba EC 1
ASA 2
EC Sao Jose (PA) 1
Gama 5
Uberlandia 3
CSA 0
Nacional-AM (Manaus) 1
ABC 3
Semi-finals
ASA 2
Gama 0
Uberlandia 2
ABC 1
Final
ASA 1
Uberlandia 3