Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3

UC Cartes

1 - 1

SD Noja

Our Tip

Match Events

39'

Laherran C.

63'

Cantero M.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Tercera RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%

UC Cartes

Draws

SD Noja

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UC Cartes

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

SD Noja haven't matched UC Cartes's recent run of results.
Model gives UC Cartes a 90% chance of winning this.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%

UC Cartes Clean Sheet 68%

SD Noja Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UC Cartes	SD Noja
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	5	4
Draws	9	5
Losses	16	21
Goals Scored	1.13	0.75
Goals Conceded	1.63	3
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.63	3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

SD Noja vs UC Cartes

Possession: 53% - 42% Cards: 4 - 2

2:2

Jan 10, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

UC Cartes vs SD Noja

Possession: 51% - 53% Cards: 4 - 1

1:1

Apr 23, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

UC Cartes vs SD Noja

Possession: 47% - 55% Cards: 2 - 0

3:2

Dec 19, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3

SD Noja vs UC Cartes

Possession: 47% - 59% Cards: 1 - 4

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UC Cartes Compare

Top Goalscorer Laherran C.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

SD Noja Compare

Top Goalscorer Cantero M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.68

Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Cartes 95 / 100

SD Noja 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UC Cartes SD Noja

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UC Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

SD Noja let in goals in 83% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.75 goals when they meet.

Attacking prowess: UC Cartes scored in 60% of their last 30 outings.

SD Noja lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UC Cartes VS SD Noja

1.13 Goals Scored 0.75

1.63 Goals Conceded 3

75% Over 1.5 88%

63% Over 2.5 75%

25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Gimnastic de Torrelavega	34	26	5	3	86:15	83
2	CD Laredo	34	21	8	5	63:28	71
3	CD Tropezon	34	21	4	9	50:27	67
4	Guarnizo	34	19	9	6	47:26	66
5	UM Escobedo	34	21	2	11	65:43	65
6	Vimenor	34	17	8	9	47:36	59
7	Atletico Albericia	34	17	5	12	61:45	56
8	Cayon CD	34	17	5	12	50:41	56
9	Torina	34	15	8	11	39:40	53
10	Bezana	34	13	8	13	43:38	47
11	Castro	34	10	8	16	44:47	38
12	Selaya	34	8	8	18	32:44	32
13	SD Revilla	34	8	7	19	35:63	31
14	CD Barquereno	34	8	6	20	37:64	30
15	UC Cartes	34	6	10	18	28:52	28
16	CD Colindres	34	6	10	18	27:47	28
17	CD Montanas del Pas	34	6	8	20	35:87	26
18	SD Noja	34	4	7	23	22:68	19