Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UC Cartes vs Selaya

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

4' Event
Fernandez Clavero A.
84' Event
Barquin J.
89' Event
Sainz B.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 game between UC Cartes and Selaya finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UC Cartes.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
UC Cartes
30%
Draws
54%
Selaya
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Selaya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • UC Cartes haven't matched Selaya's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.4%
UC Cartes Clean Sheet 11%
Selaya Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Cartes Selaya
Matches Played 30 31
Wins 5 8
Draws 9 7
Losses 16 16
Goals Scored 0.87 0.77
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.26
Expected Goals (xG) 1.12 1.79
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UC Cartes vs Selaya
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs UC Cartes
1:0
Apr 2, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
UC Cartes vs Selaya
3:0
Dec 5, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs UC Cartes
1:1
Feb 14, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 3
Selaya vs UC Cartes
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UC Cartes Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez Clavero A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Barquin J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.86
Avg xA / game 0.56

Selaya Compare

Top Goalscorer Sainz B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.63
Avg xA / game 0.99

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Cartes 30 / 100
Selaya 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Cartes Selaya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UC Cartes scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Selaya has conceded goals in 71% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

UC Cartes has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UC Cartes VS Selaya
0.86 Goals Scored 1.88
1.71 Goals Conceded 1.38
57% Over 1.5 100%
57% Over 2.5 63%
43% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UC Cartes

(Home)
09 May
SD Noja
2 : 2
UC Cartes
03 May
UC Cartes
0 : 0
Castro
26 Apr
Cayon CD
3 : 2
UC Cartes
18 Apr
UC Cartes
0 : 1
CD Montanas del Pas
11 Apr
UM Escobedo
3 : 1
UC Cartes
Page 1 of 6

Selaya

(Away)
20 Sept
Selaya
1 : 0
Atletico Albericia
12 Sept
CD Tropezon
3 : 0
Selaya
06 Sept
Selaya
0 : 0
Castro
21 Aug
Selaya
0 : 3
Cayon CD
09 May
Atletico Albericia
2 : 4
Selaya
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gimnastic de Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 83
2 CD Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 71
3 CD Tropezon 34 21 4 9 50:27 67
4 Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 66
5 UM Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 59
7 Atletico Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 56
8 Cayon CD 34 17 5 12 50:41 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 47
11 Castro 34 10 8 16 44:47 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 32
13 CD Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 31
14 CD Barquereno 34 8 6 20 37:64 30
15 UC Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 28
16 CD Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 28
17 CD Montanas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 26
18 SD Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 19
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 3 2025/2026 (Play Offs)