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UC Dublin vs Monaghan United

Ireland Ireland

Premier Division 2012
Mon, Sep 10, 2012
VS
06:45 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UC Dublin host Monaghan United in the Premier Division 2012. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: UC Dublin at 1.76 goals for, 1.31 against; Monaghan United at 1 for, 2 against. Head-to-head, UC Dublin have won 3 to Monaghan United's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Sep 10, 2012, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.54 - 1.19) back UC Dublin to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
UC Dublin
30%
Draws
33%
Monaghan United
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UC Dublin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UC Dublin lately — more wins on the board than Monaghan United.
  • UC Dublin are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Premier Division 2012 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 20%
Monaghan United Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Dublin Monaghan United
Matches Played 29 12
Wins 13 4
Draws 6 1
Losses 10 7
Goals Scored 1.76 1
Goals Conceded 1.31 2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 10, 2012 Premier Division
UC Dublin vs Monaghan United
0:0
Jun 29, 2012 Premier Division
Monaghan United vs UC Dublin
0:0
Mar 30, 2012 Premier Division
UC Dublin vs Monaghan United
3:2
Sep 11, 2009 Division 1
UC Dublin vs Monaghan United
3:0
Jun 5, 2009 Division 1
Monaghan United vs UC Dublin
2:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Dublin 49 / 100
Monaghan United 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Dublin Monaghan United

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UC Dublin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Monaghan United conceded in 91% of 11 recent games.

UC Dublin scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: UC Dublin stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UC Dublin VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.38 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UC Dublin

(Home)
04 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
1 : 1
UC Dublin
28 Aug
UC Dublin
5 : 4
Finn Harps
21 Aug
Kerry
1 : 1
UC Dublin
14 Aug
UC Dublin
1 : 2
Derry City
07 Aug
UC Dublin
4 : 1
Wexford
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Monaghan United

(Away)
26 Aug
Monaghan United
:
St. Patricks
01 Jun
Monaghan United
0 : 4
St. Patricks
25 May
Sligo Rovers
1 : 3
Monaghan United
21 May
Monaghan United
0 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
18 May
Dundalk
1 : 2
Monaghan United
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sligo Rovers 30 17 10 3 53:23 61
2 Drogheda 30 17 6 7 51:36 57
3 St. Patricks 30 15 10 5 44:22 55
4 Shamrock Rovers 30 14 10 6 56:37 52
5 Derry City 30 11 6 13 36:36 39
6 Cork City 30 8 12 10 38:36 36
7 Bohemians 30 9 9 12 35:38 36
8 Shelbourne 30 9 8 13 35:43 35
9 UC Dublin 30 8 7 15 32:48 31
10 Bray 30 5 10 15 33:54 25
11 Dundalk 30 4 8 18 23:63 20
12 Monaghan United 0 0 0 0 0:0 0
Relegation - Division 1 2012 (Promotion)
Promotion - Champions League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2013/2014 (Qualification)