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UC Dublin vs Phoenix - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ireland Ireland

FAI Cup 2012
Our Tip

Match Events

27' Event
33' Event
(Penalty)
76' Event

AI Match Summary

This match ends 3-1, with UC Dublin advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
UC Dublin
20%
Draws
44%
Phoenix
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Phoenix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • UC Dublin carry the better recent record into this one.
  • UC Dublin are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • UC Dublin have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor UC Dublin, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
UC Dublin Clean Sheet 19%
Phoenix Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Dublin Phoenix
Matches Played 29 7
Wins 13 3
Draws 6 0
Losses 10 4
Goals Scored 1.9 1.43
Goals Conceded 1.59 2.57
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 25, 2012 FAI Cup
UC Dublin vs Phoenix
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Dublin 40 / 100
Phoenix 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Dublin Phoenix

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UC Dublin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UC Dublin found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Phoenix has conceded goals in 86% of their last 7 outings.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: UC Dublin remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UC Dublin VS -
1.88 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UC Dublin

(Home)
02 Oct
Treaty United
0 : 4
UC Dublin
25 Sept
UC Dublin
1 : 3
Bray
18 Sept
Cork City
5 : 1
UC Dublin
11 Sept
UC Dublin
2 : 2
Athlone
04 Sept
Cobh Ramblers
1 : 1
UC Dublin
Page 1 of 6

Phoenix

(Away)
08 Jun
Ballynanty Rovers
2 : 1
Phoenix
27 Apr
Bluebell Utd
2 : 3
Phoenix
31 May
Phoenix
0 : 4
Dundalk
30 Mar
St. Marys
0 : 1
Phoenix
25 May
UC Dublin
3 : 1
Phoenix
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/32-finals
Derry City -
TBD -
TBD -
Finn Harps -
Phoenix 4
Lucan Utd 3
TBD -
UC Dublin -
Waterford -
TBD -
TBD -
Everton AFC -
Salthill -
TBD -
TBD -
Mervue United -
Shamrock Rovers -
TBD -
TBD -
Limerick -
Athlone -
TBD -
TBD -
Cork City -
Cherry Orchard 2
Verona 0
TBD -
Longford -
Bray -
TBD -
TBD -
Shelbourne -
Dundalk -
TBD -
TBD -
St. Patricks CY -
Blarney Utd -
TBD -
College Corinthians 1
Malahide United 2
Avondale United 3
Sheriff YC 1
Clonmel Celtic 0
Kildrum Tigers 1
Drumkeen -
TBD -
TBD -
Bohemians -
Drogheda -
TBD -
Ballymun Utd 1
Mayfield Utd 2
Douglas Hall 2
Killester Donnycarney 1
TBD -
Wexford -
Monaghan United -
TBD -
TBD -
Sligo Rovers -
Crumlin Utd 1
Kilbarrack Utd 0
TBD -
St. Patricks -
1/16-finals
Derry City 4
Finn Harps 0
Phoenix 1
UC Dublin 3
Waterford 1
Everton AFC 0
Salthill 0
Mervue United 2
Shamrock Rovers 1
Limerick 0
Athlone 1
Cork City 6
Cherry Orchard 2
Longford 0
Bray 1
Shelbourne 2
Dundalk 1
St. Patricks CY 0
Blarney Utd 1
Malahide United 4
Avondale United 3
Kildrum Tigers 1
Drumkeen 0
Bohemians 5
Drogheda 6
Mayfield Utd 1
Douglas Hall 3
Wexford 4
Monaghan United 3
Sligo Rovers 1
Crumlin Utd 0
St. Patricks 3
1/8-finals
Derry City 1
UC Dublin 0
Waterford 0
Mervue United 4
Shamrock Rovers 2
Cork City 0
Cherry Orchard 2
Shelbourne 3
Dundalk 4
Malahide United 0
Avondale United 0
Bohemians 1
Drogheda 1
Wexford 0
Monaghan United -
St. Patricks -
Quarter-finals
Derry City 7
Mervue United 1
Shamrock Rovers 1
Shelbourne 2
Dundalk 1
Bohemians 0
Drogheda 1
St. Patricks 2
Semi-finals
Derry City 4
Shelbourne 1
Dundalk 0
St. Patricks 3
Final
Derry City 3
St. Patricks 2