Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UC Sinalunghese vs Follonica Gavorrano

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2020/2021
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Doka B.
83' Event
Tomassini S.

AI Match Summary

UC Sinalunghese host Follonica Gavorrano in the Serie D - Group E 2020/2021. This one's hard to separate. UC Sinalunghese have averaged 0 scored and 0 conceded recently, against Follonica Gavorrano's 1.25 scored and 1.63 conceded. Past meetings favor UC Sinalunghese slightly — 1-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 18, 2021, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.42 xG vs 1.18) point toward Follonica Gavorrano. Follonica Gavorrano in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
UC Sinalunghese
6%
Draws
90%
Follonica Gavorrano
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Follonica Gavorrano

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Follonica Gavorrano has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to UC Sinalunghese.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Follonica Gavorrano.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Serie D - Group E 2020/2021 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
UC Sinalunghese Clean Sheet 20%
Follonica Gavorrano Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UC Sinalunghese Follonica Gavorrano
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 3 8
Draws 9 11
Losses 18 13
Goals Scored 0 1.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2021 Serie D - Group E
UC Sinalunghese vs Follonica Gavorrano
1:1
Jan 6, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs UC Sinalunghese
1:1
Jan 16, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Follonica Gavorrano vs UC Sinalunghese
1:0
Sep 26, 2018 Serie D - Group E
UC Sinalunghese vs Follonica Gavorrano
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UC Sinalunghese Compare

Top Goalscorer Doka B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Follonica Gavorrano Compare

Top Goalscorer Tomassini S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UC Sinalunghese 10 / 100
Follonica Gavorrano 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UC Sinalunghese Follonica Gavorrano

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick FLG Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UC Sinalunghese scored in 47% of their last 30 games.

Follonica Gavorrano let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

UC Sinalunghese went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Follonica Gavorrano lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Follonica Gavorrano
0 Goals Scored 1.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Montevarchi34218568:3271
2Trastevere Calcio34179856:3860
3Sporting Trestina341511848:3356
4San Donato Tavarnelle341412848:4054
5Siena341581148:4053
6Follonica Gavorrano341491148:3751
7Pianese341312941:3451
8Lornano Badesse341391251:4448
9Tiferno Lerchi341381344:4847
10Cannara3412111141:4847
11Sangiovannese341291342:4345
12Montespaccato341181540:4741
13Ostiamare348151150:5439
14Flaminia349121344:5739
15Foligno34991635:4836
16Scandicci341071742:4935
17Grassina346121632:5230
18UC Sinalunghese344111924:5823