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UCAM Murcia B vs Alcantarilla - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Sun, Oct 25, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UCAM Murcia B host Alcantarilla in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Alcantarilla have shipped 1.55 goals a game lately, while UCAM Murcia B have conceded 1.13 and scored 1.74. Past meetings favor UCAM Murcia B slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2025, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.54 - 1.10) back UCAM Murcia B to edge this. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
UCAM Murcia B
35%
Draws
40%
Alcantarilla
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Alcantarilla

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

25% / Low Confidence
  • UCAM Murcia B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans UCAM Murcia B's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
UCAM Murcia B Clean Sheet 20%
Alcantarilla Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCAM Murcia B Alcantarilla
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 11 10
Draws 14 9
Losses 6 12
Goals Scored 1.74 0.84
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 1.54 1.10
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Alcantarilla
0:0
Nov 30, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs UCAM Murcia B
1:0
May 4, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Alcantarilla vs UCAM Murcia B
1:1
Jan 14, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Alcantarilla
1:0
Mar 12, 2023 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Alcantarilla
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia B 49 / 100
Alcantarilla 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCAM Murcia B Alcantarilla

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UCAM Murcia B scored in 81% of their last 31 outings.

Defensive concern: Alcantarilla conceded in 61% of 31 recent games.

UCAM Murcia B went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Games between these two average 1.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia B VS Alcantarilla
2.38 Goals Scored 0.71
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.71
100% Over 1.5 57%
75% Over 2.5 14%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UCAM Murcia B

(Home)
04 Oct
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0
UCAM Murcia B
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
San Javier
20 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
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Alcantarilla

(Away)
10 Oct
Molinense
3 : 0
Alcantarilla
04 Oct
Alcantarilla
1 : 1
Santa Cruz
27 Sept
Bala Azul
0 : 1
Alcantarilla
20 Sept
Alcantarilla
2 : 0
Cotillas CD
12 Sept
Alcantarilla
0 : 0
CA Pulpileno
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 6 5 1 0 14:6 16
2 Molinense 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
4 Santa Cruz 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
5 Alcantarilla 6 2 3 1 5:5 9
6 UCAM Murcia B 6 2 2 2 13:7 8
7 Aguilas FC B 6 1 5 0 7:5 8
8 CA Pulpileno 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
9 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
10 Bala Azul 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
11 FC Cartagena SAD B 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
12 Minerva 6 2 2 2 3:4 8
13 Cotillas CD 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
14 Bullas Deportivo 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
15 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
16 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
17 Deportivo Maritimo 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 6 0 1 5 6:14 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)