Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UCAM Murcia B vs FC Cartagena SAD B

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Campillo M.
25' Event
Bomwinsum P.
51' Event
Alandes N.

AI Match Summary

The Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 game between UCAM Murcia B and FC Cartagena SAD B finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UCAM Murcia B.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
UCAM Murcia B
35%
Draws
22%
FC Cartagena SAD B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UCAM Murcia B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • UCAM Murcia B carry the better recent record into this one.
  • UCAM Murcia B are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
UCAM Murcia B Clean Sheet 68%
FC Cartagena SAD B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCAM Murcia B FC Cartagena SAD B
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 11 7
Draws 13 11
Losses 4 12
Goals Scored 1.89 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.18 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Cartagena SAD B vs UCAM Murcia B
2:2
Feb 15, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs FC Cartagena SAD B
2:1
Oct 5, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Cartagena SAD B vs UCAM Murcia B
1:2
Jan 19, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Cartagena SAD B vs UCAM Murcia B
1:0
Sep 8, 2024 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs FC Cartagena SAD B
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCAM Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Campillo M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Alandes N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

FC Cartagena SAD B Compare

Top Goalscorer Bomwinsum P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia B 86 / 100
FC Cartagena SAD B 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCAM Murcia B FC Cartagena SAD B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UCAM Murcia B scored in 89% of their last 28 outings.

FC Cartagena SAD B let in goals in 63% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: UCAM Murcia B remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia B VS FC Cartagena SAD B
2.13 Goals Scored 0.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UCAM Murcia B

(Home)
20 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
10 May
Aguilas FC B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
03 May
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
Muleno CF
Page 1 of 6

FC Cartagena SAD B

(Away)
20 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
13 Sept
Minerva
0 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD B
06 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 4
Molinense
15 Aug
Deportiva Minera
1 : 0
FC Cartagena SAD B
08 Aug
FC Cartagena SAD B
1 : 1
UD Los Garres
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ciudad Cieza 34 21 10 3 65:21 73
2 Real Murcia B 34 17 8 9 59:44 59
3 Molinense 34 17 8 9 46:34 59
4 Club Olimpico de Totana 34 15 13 6 44:27 58
5 Mazarron FC 34 14 14 6 50:33 56
6 UCAM Murcia B 34 13 16 5 55:37 55
7 Aguilas FC B 34 14 10 10 47:42 52
8 CA Pulpileno 34 13 11 10 30:29 50
9 Santa Cruz 34 14 6 14 35:37 48
10 Minerva 34 11 11 12 28:39 44
11 Bala Azul 34 8 16 10 39:36 40
12 FC Cartagena SAD B 34 9 11 14 40:39 38
13 Deportivo Maritimo 34 9 9 16 38:46 36
14 E.G. El Palmar 34 8 8 18 27:48 32
15 Santomera 34 8 8 18 38:64 32
16 Caravaca 34 6 13 15 33:44 31
17 Muleno CF 34 6 13 15 33:58 31
18 Yeclano B 34 6 9 19 25:54 27
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 13 2025/2026 (Play Offs)