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UCAM Murcia B vs Mazarron FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Spain Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
5 - 1
08:00 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Martinez A.
52' Event
65' Event

AI Match Summary

UCAM Murcia B host Mazarron FC in the Tercera RFEF - Group 13. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: UCAM Murcia B at 1.74 goals for, 1.13 against; Mazarron FC at 1.57 for, 1.07 against. Past meetings favor UCAM Murcia B slightly — 3-0-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 11, 2026, ending 5:1. Model xG sits at 1.75 vs 1.38, favoring UCAM Murcia B. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Under 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

58%
UCAM Murcia B
30%
Draws
12%
Mazarron FC
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: UCAM Murcia B

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Mazarron FC come out ahead of UCAM Murcia B on wins alone.
  • 58% — that's where the model lands on UCAM Murcia B taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
UCAM Murcia B Clean Sheet 68%
Mazarron FC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCAM Murcia B Mazarron FC
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 11 12
Draws 14 10
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.74 1.57
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 11, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Mazarron FC
5:1
Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Mazarron FC
3:3
Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs UCAM Murcia B
1:1
Apr 24, 2022 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
Mazarron FC vs UCAM Murcia B
0:1
Dec 12, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia B vs Mazarron FC
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCAM Murcia B Compare

Top Goalscorer Martinez A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Mazarron FC Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia B 86 / 100
Mazarron FC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCAM Murcia B Mazarron FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia B Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCAM Murcia B scored in 81% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Mazarron FC has conceded goals in 67% of their last 30 outings.

UCAM Murcia B has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia B VS Mazarron FC
1.75 Goals Scored 1.25
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UCAM Murcia B

(Home)
04 Oct
Club Olimpico de Totana
1 : 0
UCAM Murcia B
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
1 : 1
San Javier
20 Sept
FC Cartagena SAD B
2 : 2
UCAM Murcia B
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia B
4 : 0
Deportivo Maritimo
05 Sept
Santomera
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia B
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Mazarron FC

(Away)
04 Oct
Mazarron FC
0 : 1
Minerva
27 Sept
Molinense
3 : 2
Mazarron FC
20 Sept
Mazarron FC
2 : 2
Santa Cruz
12 Sept
Bala Azul
1 : 0
Mazarron FC
06 Sept
Mazarron FC
1 : 2
Cotillas CD
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santomera 6 5 1 0 14:6 16
2 Molinense 6 3 2 1 13:8 11
3 San Javier 5 3 2 0 8:5 11
4 Santa Cruz 6 2 3 1 9:8 9
5 Alcantarilla 6 2 3 1 5:5 9
6 CA Pulpileno 6 2 2 2 8:7 8
7 Club Olimpico de Totana 5 2 2 1 6:5 8
8 Minerva 5 2 2 1 3:2 8
9 Bala Azul 6 2 2 2 7:7 8
10 FC Cartagena SAD B 6 2 2 2 9:10 8
11 Cotillas CD 6 2 1 3 7:9 7
12 UCAM Murcia B 5 1 2 2 8:6 5
13 Bullas Deportivo 5 1 2 2 7:6 5
14 Aguilas FC B 5 0 5 0 5:5 5
15 UD Los Garres 5 1 2 2 4:5 5
16 CD Algar 5 1 0 4 3:10 3
17 Deportivo Maritimo 5 1 0 4 2:10 3
18 Mazarron FC 5 0 1 4 5:9 1
Promotion - Tercera RFEF - Group 6 (Promotion - Play Offs)