Sport Picks

Spain

Copa del Rey 2025/2026 Estadio de La Condomina, Murcia

UCAM Murcia

1 - 3

Cadiz

Our Tip

Match Events

Marti R.

Assist: Tabatadze I.

28'

Hernaiz A.

(Penalty)

32'

Pontones J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Cadiz in this Copa del Rey 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-3. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

UCAM Murcia

35%

Draws

19%

Cadiz

Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UCAM Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to UCAM Murcia lately — more wins on the board than Cadiz.
UCAM Murcia are the model's pick here, at 80%.
UCAM Murcia have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
Historical meetings favor Cadiz, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 67.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.8%

UCAM Murcia Clean Sheet 68%

Cadiz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UCAM Murcia	Cadiz
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	15	5
Draws	4	5
Losses	10	19
Goals Scored	1.72	1.14
Goals Conceded	1.31	1.72
Expected Goals (xG)	1.81	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 28, 2025 Copa del Rey

UCAM Murcia vs Cadiz

1:3

Apr 1, 2017 LaLiga2

UCAM Murcia vs Cadiz

1:1

Oct 23, 2016 LaLiga2

Cadiz vs UCAM Murcia

2:2

May 7, 2016 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

Cadiz vs UCAM Murcia

0:2

Dec 19, 2015 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

UCAM Murcia vs Cadiz

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCAM Murcia Compare

Avg xG / game 1.39

Avg xA / game 0.91

Cadiz Compare

Top Goalscorer Marti R.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Diaz Peregrina J.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.31

Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia 86 / 100

Cadiz 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UCAM Murcia Cadiz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCAM Murcia's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Defensive concern: Cadiz conceded in 83% of 29 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

UCAM Murcia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia VS Cadiz

2 Goals Scored 1.88

1 Goals Conceded 1.63

60% Over 1.5 75%

40% Over 2.5 63%

20% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

UCAM Murcia

(Home)

13 Sept

UCAM Murcia

1 : 0

Valencia B

05 Sept

Castellonense

2 : 1

UCAM Murcia

08 Aug

UCAM Murcia

7 : 2

Orihuela

01 Aug

UCAM Murcia

1 : 1

Hercules

03 May

Xerez CD

1 : 0

UCAM Murcia

Page 1 of 6

Cadiz

(Away)

12 Sept

Cadiz

0 : 1

Las Palmas

06 Sept

Almeria

3 : 2

Cadiz

30 Aug

Cadiz

1 : 1

Valladolid

22 Aug

Eldense

2 : 2

Cadiz

15 Aug

Cadiz

0 : 0

Celta Vigo B

Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Scroll horizontally to view stages →

1/128-finals

Mutilvera -

TBD -

Zaragoza -

Atletico Tordesillas -

TBD -

Burgos CF -

Navalcarnero -

TBD -

AD Merida -

Inter de Valdemoro 4

Univ. Julio Suarez 2

TBD -

Getafe -

Atletico Astorga -

TBD -

Mirandes -

Caudal Deportivo -

TBD -

Gijon -

Puente Genil -

TBD -

FC Cartagena SAD -

Sporting Ceuta 1

Maracena 3

TBD -

Valencia -

CD Tropezon -

TBD -

Leonesa -

Valle Egues -

TBD -

FC Andorra -

Ciudad Cieza -

TBD -

Cordoba -

Orihuela -

TBD -

Levante -

Ourense CF -

TBD -

Real Oviedo -

Constancia -

TBD -

Girona -

TBD -

Ath Bilbao -

Portugalete -

TBD -

Valladolid -

Deportivo Getxo 2

Betis Valladolid 1

TBD -

Alaves -

CD Extremadura -

TBD -

Las Palmas -

Toledo -

TBD -

Sevilla -

RSD Alcala -

TBD -

Tenerife -

Roda -

TBD -

Granada CF -

Real Avila -

TBD -

Real Aviles -

Campanario 0

CD Yuncos 2

TBD -

Rayo Vallecano -

Jaen -

TBD -

Eldense -

Lorca Deportiva -

TBD -

Almeria -

Reus FC Reddis -

TBD -

CE Europa -

Textil Escudo 2

SD Negreira 5

TBD -

Real Sociedad -

Langreo -

TBD -

Racing Club Ferrol -

Utebo FC -

TBD -

Huesca -

Ebro -

TBD -

Tarazona -

CD Sant Jordi 4

CD Lourdes 1

TBD -

Osasuna -

CD Azuaga -

TBD -

Leganes -

UD San Fernando -

TBD -

Albacete -

Sant Andreu -

TBD -

Teruel -

Puerto de Vega 5

CCD Alberite 1

TBD -

Celta Vigo -

Rayo Majadahonda -

TBD -

CF Talavera -

CD Estepona -

TBD -

Malaga -

TBD -

Real Madrid -

UD Logrones -

TBD -

Ponferradina -

SD Logrones -

TBD -

Racing Santander -

Antoniano -

TBD -

Castellon -

Ciudad de Lucena -

TBD -

Villarreal -

Guadalajara -

TBD -

Cacereno -

La Union (Malacitano) -

TBD -

AD Ceuta -

TBD -

Barcelona -

Murcia -

TBD -

Antequera -

UCAM Murcia -

TBD -

Cadiz -

Torrent -

TBD -

Torremolinos -

Atletico Melilla 0

Atletico Palma del Rio 10

TBD -

Betis -

UD Ourense -

TBD -

Pontevedra -

Naxara -

TBD -

Eibar -

Quintanar del Rey -

TBD -

UD Ibiza -

Manises 2

UD Los Garres 4

TBD -

Elche -

UD Poblense -

TBD -

Sabadell -

UD Samano -

TBD -

Dep. A Coruna -

Numancia -

TBD -

Arenas Getxo -

Atletic Sant Just FC 7

Atletico Calatayud 1

TBD -

Mallorca -

Baleares -

TBD -

Gimnastic de Tarragona -

CE Atletic Lleida -

TBD -

Espanyol -

TBD -

Atl. Madrid -

1/64-finals

Mutilvera 1

Zaragoza 3

Atletico Tordesillas 1

Burgos CF 2

Navalcarnero 2

AD Merida 1

Inter de Valdemoro 0

Getafe 11

Atletico Astorga 1

Mirandes 2

Caudal Deportivo 0

Gijon 1

Puente Genil 0

FC Cartagena SAD 1

Maracena 0

Valencia 5

CD Tropezon 1

Leonesa 3

Valle Egues 1

FC Andorra 5

Ciudad Cieza 1

Cordoba 0

Orihuela 3

Levante 4

Ourense CF 4

Real Oviedo 2

Constancia 2

Girona 3

TBD -

Ath Bilbao -

Portugalete 1

Valladolid 0

Deportivo Getxo 0

Alaves 7

CD Extremadura 3

Las Palmas 1

Toledo 1

Sevilla 4

RSD Alcala 0

Tenerife 4

Roda 1

Granada CF 5

Real Avila 1

Real Aviles 0

CD Yuncos 1

Rayo Vallecano 6

Jaen 1

Eldense 3

Lorca Deportiva 0

Almeria 2

Reus FC Reddis 3

CE Europa 2

SD Negreira 0

Real Sociedad 3

Langreo 0

Racing Club Ferrol 1

Utebo FC 0

Huesca 3

Ebro 2

Tarazona 1

CD Sant Jordi 0

Osasuna 5

CD Azuaga 1

Leganes 4

UD San Fernando 0

Albacete 3

Sant Andreu 2

Teruel 1

Puerto de Vega 0

Celta Vigo 2

Rayo Majadahonda 1

CF Talavera 4

CD Estepona 1

Malaga 3

TBD -

Real Madrid -

UD Logrones 1

Ponferradina 3

SD Logrones 0

Racing Santander 4

Antoniano 1

Castellon 0

Ciudad de Lucena 0

Villarreal 6

Guadalajara 2

Cacereno 1

La Union (Malacitano) 0

AD Ceuta 2

TBD -

Barcelona -

Murcia 2

Antequera 1

UCAM Murcia 1

Cadiz 3

Torrent 3

Torremolinos 1

Atletico Palma del Rio 1

Betis 7

UD Ourense 1

Pontevedra 2

Naxara 2

Eibar 4

Quintanar del Rey 2

UD Ibiza 1

UD Los Garres 0

Elche 4

UD Poblense 1

Sabadell 2

UD Samano 1

Dep. A Coruna 5

Numancia 3

Arenas Getxo 0

Atletic Sant Just FC 0

Mallorca 2

Baleares 2

Gimnastic de Tarragona 0

CE Atletic Lleida 1

Espanyol 2

TBD -

Atl. Madrid -

1/32-finals

Zaragoza 0

Burgos CF 1

Navalcarnero 2

Getafe 3

Mirandes 0

Gijon 2

FC Cartagena SAD 1

Valencia 2

Leonesa 4

FC Andorra 2

Ciudad Cieza 0

Levante 1

Ourense CF 2

Girona 1

TBD -

Ath Bilbao -

Portugalete 0

Alaves 3

CD Extremadura 1

Sevilla 2

Tenerife 0

Granada CF 1

Real Avila 1

Rayo Vallecano 2

Eldense 2

Almeria 1

Reus FC Reddis 0

Real Sociedad 2

Racing Club Ferrol 0

Huesca 2

Ebro 3

Osasuna 5

Leganes 1

Albacete 2

Sant Andreu 1

Celta Vigo 2

CF Talavera 2

Malaga 1

TBD -

Real Madrid -

Ponferradina 1

Racing Santander 2

Antoniano 1

Villarreal 2

Guadalajara 1

AD Ceuta 0

TBD -

Barcelona -

Murcia 3

Cadiz 2

Torrent 1

Betis 4

Pontevedra 0

Eibar 3

Quintanar del Rey 1

Elche 2

Sabadell 0

Dep. A Coruna 2

Numancia 2

Mallorca 3

Baleares 1

Espanyol 0

TBD -

Atl. Madrid -

1/16-finals

Burgos CF 3

Getafe 1

Gijon 0

Valencia 2

Leonesa 1

Levante 0

Ourense CF 0

Ath Bilbao 1

Alaves 1

Sevilla 0

Granada CF 1

Rayo Vallecano 3

Eldense 1

Real Sociedad 2

Huesca 2

Osasuna 4

Albacete 3

Celta Vigo 2

CF Talavera 2

Real Madrid 3

Racing Santander 2

Villarreal 1

Guadalajara 0

Barcelona 2

Murcia 0

Betis 2

Eibar 0

Elche 1

Dep. A Coruna 1

Mallorca 0

Baleares 2

Atl. Madrid 3

1/8-finals

Burgos CF 0

Valencia 2

Leonesa 3

Ath Bilbao 4

Alaves 2

Rayo Vallecano 0

Real Sociedad 3

Osasuna 2

Albacete 3

Real Madrid 2

Racing Santander 0

Barcelona 2

Betis 2

Elche 1

Dep. A Coruna 0

Atl. Madrid 1

Quarter-finals

Albacete 1

Barcelona 2

Betis 0

Atl. Madrid 5

Valencia 1

Ath Bilbao 2

Alaves 2

Real Sociedad 3

Semi-finals

Barcelona 3

Atl. Madrid 4

Ath Bilbao 0

Real Sociedad 2

Final

Atl. Madrid 2

Real Sociedad 3

UCAM Murcia vs Cadiz

Spain

UCAM Murcia

Cadiz

Match Events

AI Match Summary

Win Probability Meter

Model Confidence

Goal Probability Engine

Recent Team Form Analysis

H2H

Key Player Impact Analysis

UCAM Murcia Compare

Cadiz Compare

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Attack & Defence Capability Index

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Scoring Trends

Recent Form & Match History

UCAM Murcia

Cadiz

Tournament Bracket & Draw

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