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UCAM Murcia vs FC Puente Tocinos

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 Estadio Enrique Roca, Murcia
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UCAM Murcia in this Tercera Division - Group 13 2009/2010 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UCAM Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
UCAM Murcia
28%
Draws
22%
FC Puente Tocinos
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: UCAM Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UCAM Murcia lately — more wins on the board than FC Puente Tocinos.
  • Win probability leans UCAM Murcia's way, sitting at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • UCAM Murcia have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
UCAM Murcia Clean Sheet 19%
FC Puente Tocinos Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCAM Murcia FC Puente Tocinos
Matches Played 37 31
Wins 20 8
Draws 4 5
Losses 13 18
Goals Scored 1.5 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Puente Tocinos vs UCAM Murcia
1:5
Oct 24, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia vs FC Puente Tocinos
4:0
Mar 7, 2010 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
UCAM Murcia vs FC Puente Tocinos
1:0
Oct 18, 2009 Tercera RFEF - Group 13
FC Puente Tocinos vs UCAM Murcia
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia 49 / 100
FC Puente Tocinos 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCAM Murcia FC Puente Tocinos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UCAM Murcia scored in 86% of their last 37 outings.

Defensive concern: FC Puente Tocinos conceded in 84% of 31 recent games.

H2H data points to 3.25 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: UCAM Murcia remains unbeaten in 1 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
63% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UCAM Murcia

(Home)
03 May
Xerez CD
1 : 0
UCAM Murcia
26 Apr
UCAM Murcia
1 : 2
Jaen
19 Apr
La Union (Malacitano)
4 : 1
UCAM Murcia
12 Apr
UCAM Murcia
4 : 0
Malaga B
05 Apr
Deportiva Minera
2 : 0
UCAM Murcia
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FC Puente Tocinos

(Away)
15 May
FC Puente Tocinos
3 : 4
Moratalla
08 May
Lorca FC
5 : 2
FC Puente Tocinos
01 May
FC Puente Tocinos
2 : 1
Club Edeco Fortuna
21 Apr
Calasparra FC
2 : 2
FC Puente Tocinos
17 Apr
FC Puente Tocinos
2 : 2
Cartagena La Union
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Futbol Club Jumilla38275684:2686
2Yeclano38266693:3884
3Lorca Deportiva38266695:3684
4UCAM Murcia38265782:3883
5Cartagena La Union38256784:4081
6Pinatar38248668:2880
7Ciudad Cieza38248681:3380
8CA Pulpileno381571661:5652
9Plus Ultra3814101459:5652
10Santomera3812131352:4549
11FC Puente Tocinos381461848:5748
12Club Edeco Fortuna381381750:7347
13Cartagena FC UCAM3811101759:5543
14Beniel381262054:7142
15Calasparra FC38992044:7036
16Base Abaran38872326:8131
17Bala Azul38792247:7630
18Mazarron CF38772440:6928
19CD Lumbreras38533028:12718
20Jumilla CD38353031:11114
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2009/2010 (Main)