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Stadium Background

UCAM Murcia vs Linares

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio de La Condomina, Murcia
Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Aguilar Alcalde C.
47'
Hernaiz A.
88' Event
Punal A.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
UCAM Murcia
20%
Draws
29%
Linares
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UCAM Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • UCAM Murcia have won more games recently than Linares.
  • UCAM Murcia are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 37.6%
UCAM Murcia Clean Sheet 68%
Linares Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCAM Murcia Linares
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 15 9
Draws 4 11
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 1.73 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
UCAM Murcia vs Linares
1:1
Nov 30, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Linares vs UCAM Murcia
2:1
Mar 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
UCAM Murcia vs Linares
2:0
Oct 27, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Linares vs UCAM Murcia
1:1
Nov 1, 2023 Copa del Rey
UCAM Murcia vs Linares
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCAM Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Punal A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Linares Compare

Top Goalscorer Chikola P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia 95 / 100
Linares 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCAM Murcia Linares

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCAM Murcia's goal record stands at 87% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Linares has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: UCAM Murcia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia VS Linares
2 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UCAM Murcia

(Home)
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 2
CF Intercity
20 Sept
Baleares
1 : 4
UCAM Murcia
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 0
Valencia B
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
08 Aug
UCAM Murcia
7 : 2
Orihuela
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Linares

(Away)
26 Sept
Betis B
4 : 0
Linares
20 Sept
Linares
0 : 1
Las Palmas B
12 Sept
CD Estepona
1 : 4
Linares
06 Sept
Linares
1 : 1
Ciudad de Lucena
15 Aug
CD Badajoz
1 : 1
Linares
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 CD Extremadura 34 17 12 5 54:38 63
2 Deportiva Minera 34 19 6 9 50:33 63
3 Aguilas FC 34 18 7 9 45:25 61
4 Xerez CD 34 17 8 9 32:24 59
5 Jaen 34 16 10 8 43:33 58
6 Recreativo Huelva 34 16 9 9 41:25 57
7 UCAM Murcia 34 16 7 11 49:41 55
8 Linares 34 11 14 9 42:45 47
9 La Union (Malacitano) 34 13 6 15 44:43 45
10 Lorca Deportiva 34 12 9 13 32:36 45
11 Yeclano 34 12 8 14 33:33 44
12 Antoniano 34 12 8 14 38:40 44
13 CD Estepona 34 12 8 14 40:44 44
14 Puente Genil 34 10 10 14 28:37 40
15 Xerez Deportivo FC 34 8 12 14 34:43 36
16 Melilla 34 7 13 14 36:40 34
17 Almeria B 34 4 9 21 26:53 21
18 Malaga B 34 5 6 23 32:66 21
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)