Sport Picks

Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio de La Condomina

UCAM Murcia

1 - 1

Linares

Our Tip

Match Events

Aguilar Alcalde C.

47'

Hernaiz A.

88'

Punal A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%

UCAM Murcia

44%

Draws

20%

Linares

Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

UCAM Murcia have won more games recently than Linares.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 44%.
Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%

Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 19%

Over 4.5 Goals 9%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38.400000000000006%

UCAM Murcia Clean Sheet 20%

Linares Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UCAM Murcia	Linares
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	15	10
Draws	4	11
Losses	11	9
Goals Scored	1.75	1
Goals Conceded	1.38	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

UCAM Murcia vs Linares

Possession: 54% - 57% Cards: 3 - 0

1:1

Nov 30, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

Linares vs UCAM Murcia

Possession: 50% - 59% Cards: 2 - 3

2:1

Mar 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

UCAM Murcia vs Linares

Possession: 46% - 53% Cards: 1 - 4

2:0

Oct 27, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4

Linares vs UCAM Murcia

Possession: 60% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Nov 1, 2023 Copa del Rey

UCAM Murcia vs Linares

Possession: 43% - 52% Cards: 4 - 1

0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCAM Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Punal A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.35

Avg xA / game 0.88

Linares Compare

Top Goalscorer Chikola P.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia 36 / 100

Linares 32 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UCAM Murcia Linares

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LIN Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCAM Murcia's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Linares has conceded goals in 83% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: UCAM Murcia stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia VS Linares

1.75 Goals Scored 1

1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75

100% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 13%

38% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	CD Extremadura	34	17	12	5	54:38	63
2	Deportiva Minera	34	19	6	9	50:33	63
3	Aguilas FC	34	18	7	9	45:25	61
4	Xerez CD	34	17	8	9	32:24	59
5	Jaen	34	16	10	8	43:33	58
6	Recreativo Huelva	34	16	9	9	41:25	57
7	UCAM Murcia	34	16	7	11	49:41	55
8	Linares	34	11	14	9	42:45	47
9	La Union (Malacitano)	34	13	6	15	44:43	45
10	Lorca Deportiva	34	12	9	13	32:36	45
11	Yeclano	34	12	8	14	33:33	44
12	Antoniano	34	12	8	14	38:40	44
13	CD Estepona	34	12	8	14	40:44	44
14	Puente Genil	34	10	10	14	28:37	40
15	Xerez Deportivo FC	34	8	12	14	34:43	36
16	Melilla	34	7	13	14	36:40	34
17	Almeria B	34	4	9	21	26:53	21
18	Malaga B	34	5	6	23	32:66	21