Sport Picks
UCAM Murcia vs Malaga B
Spain
Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 Estadio de La Condomina, Murcia 
Match Events
23'
23'
Baldrich S.
28'
28'
Aquino D.
64'
64'
Soto A.
AI Match Summary
UCAM Murcia in this Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 4-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UCAM Murcia.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
42%
20%
38%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: UCAM Murcia
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Form's been kind to UCAM Murcia lately — more wins on the board than Malaga B.
- Win probability leans UCAM Murcia's way, sitting at 40%.
- Regular Segunda RFEF - Group 4 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- UCAM Murcia have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
UCAM Murcia Clean Sheet 68%
Malaga B Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UCAM Murcia | Malaga B |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 15 | 7 |
| Draws | 4 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.7 | 1.21 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.3 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.88 | 1.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 12, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
UCAM Murcia vs Malaga B
4:0
Nov 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Malaga B vs UCAM Murcia
1:0
Mar 3, 2019 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Malaga B vs UCAM Murcia
0:3
Oct 14, 2018 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
UCAM Murcia vs Malaga B
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
UCAM Murcia Compare
Top Goalscorer Baldrich S.
1 Goals Assists Leader Aquino D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94
Malaga B Compare
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UCAM Murcia 50 / 100
Malaga B 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UCAM Murcia Malaga B
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UCAM Murcia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UCAM Murcia scored in 83% of their last 30 games.
Malaga B let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Solid form: UCAM Murcia remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
UCAM Murcia VS Malaga B
1.88 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
UCAM Murcia
(Home) 27 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 2 CF Intercity
20 Sept
Baleares
1 : 4 UCAM Murcia
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 0 Valencia B
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1 UCAM Murcia
08 Aug
UCAM Murcia
7 : 2 Orihuela
Page 1 of 6
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 2 CF Intercity
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 0 Valencia B
08 Aug
UCAM Murcia
7 : 2 Orihuela
01 Aug
UCAM Murcia
1 : 1 Hercules
26 Apr
UCAM Murcia
1 : 2 Jaen
Page 1 of 4
Malaga B
(Away) 26 Sept
Malaga B
1 : 0 Atletico de Marbella
20 Sept
Cantoria
2 : 2 Malaga B
12 Sept
Malaga B
6 : 1 Atletico de Porcuna
06 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0 Malaga B
03 May
Malaga B
3 : 3 Melilla
Page 1 of 6
20 Sept
Cantoria
2 : 2 Malaga B
06 Sept
UD San Pedro
1 : 0 Malaga B
26 Apr
Puente Genil
2 : 1 Malaga B
12 Apr
UCAM Murcia
4 : 0 Malaga B
28 Mar
La Union (Malacitano)
3 : 1 Malaga B
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CD Extremadura | 34 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 54:38 | 63 |
| 2 | Deportiva Minera | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 50:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Aguilas FC | 34 | 18 | 7 | 9 | 45:25 | 61 |
| 4 | Xerez CD | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 32:24 | 59 |
| 5 | Jaen | 34 | 16 | 10 | 8 | 43:33 | 58 |
| 6 | Recreativo Huelva | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 41:25 | 57 |
| 7 | UCAM Murcia | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49:41 | 55 |
| 8 | Linares | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 42:45 | 47 |
| 9 | La Union (Malacitano) | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 44:43 | 45 |
| 10 | Lorca Deportiva | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 32:36 | 45 |
| 11 | Yeclano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 33:33 | 44 |
| 12 | Antoniano | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 38:40 | 44 |
| 13 | CD Estepona | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 40:44 | 44 |
| 14 | Puente Genil | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 28:37 | 40 |
| 15 | Xerez Deportivo FC | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 34:43 | 36 |
| 16 | Melilla | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 36:40 | 34 |
| 17 | Almeria B | 34 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 26:53 | 21 |
| 18 | Malaga B | 34 | 5 | 6 | 23 | 32:66 | 21 |
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 2 2025/2026 (Play Out)
