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UCAM Murcia vs Orihuela - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Aquino D.
(Penalty)
16'
20' Event
Iglesias J.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between UCAM Murcia and Orihuela finished 7-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward UCAM Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

59%
UCAM Murcia
15%
Draws
26%
Orihuela
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UCAM Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

59% / Medium Confidence
  • UCAM Murcia carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 59% — that's where the model lands on UCAM Murcia taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36.8%
UCAM Murcia Clean Sheet 68%
Orihuela Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCAM Murcia Orihuela
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 4 8
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1.86 1.21
Goals Conceded 1.34 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 8, 2026 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Orihuela
7:2
Aug 20, 2025 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Orihuela
2:0
Feb 9, 2025 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
UCAM Murcia vs Orihuela
1:1
Sep 29, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
Orihuela vs UCAM Murcia
0:1
Jan 28, 2024 Segunda RFEF - Group 4
UCAM Murcia vs Orihuela
0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCAM Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Fernandez H.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Iglesias J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Orihuela Compare

Top Goalscorer Perdomo O.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia 95 / 100
Orihuela 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCAM Murcia Orihuela

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UCAM Murcia's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Orihuela has conceded goals in 83% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 3.20 goals.

UCAM Murcia has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia VS Orihuela
2.5 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UCAM Murcia

(Home)
03 Oct
Ilicitano
1 : 5
UCAM Murcia
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 2
CF Intercity
20 Sept
Baleares
1 : 4
UCAM Murcia
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 0
Valencia B
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
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Orihuela

(Away)
04 Oct
Orihuela
0 : 4
Ciudad Cieza
26 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Castellon B
20 Sept
Deportiva Minera
2 : 2
Orihuela
16 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 4
Murcia
13 Sept
Orihuela
1 : 0
Lorca Deportiva
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