Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UCAM Murcia vs Valencia B

Spain Spain

Segunda RFEF - Group 3
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Aguilera J.
90' Event
Carrillo J.

AI Match Summary

UCAM Murcia in this Segunda RFEF - Group 3 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UCAM Murcia.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

77%
UCAM Murcia
15%
Draws
8%
Valencia B
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UCAM Murcia

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

77% / Very High Confidence
  • Valencia B haven't matched UCAM Murcia's recent run of results.
  • UCAM Murcia are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors UCAM Murcia here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 38%
UCAM Murcia Clean Sheet 68%
Valencia B Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCAM Murcia Valencia B
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 7
Draws 4 11
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.76 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.31 1.46
Expected Goals (xG) 1.69 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Segunda RFEF - Group 3
UCAM Murcia vs Valencia B
1:0
Aug 10, 2024 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Valencia B
2:1
Aug 14, 2019 Club Friendly
UCAM Murcia vs Valencia B
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCAM Murcia Compare

Top Goalscorer Carrillo J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.84

Valencia B Compare

Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCAM Murcia 77 / 100
Valencia B 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCAM Murcia Valencia B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCAM Murcia Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UCAM Murcia scored in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Valencia B has conceded goals in 89% of their last 28 outings.

H2H data points to 2.67 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: UCAM Murcia stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UCAM Murcia VS Valencia B
2 Goals Scored 1.38
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

UCAM Murcia

(Home)
27 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 2
CF Intercity
20 Sept
Baleares
1 : 4
UCAM Murcia
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 0
Valencia B
05 Sept
Castellonense
2 : 1
UCAM Murcia
08 Aug
UCAM Murcia
7 : 2
Orihuela
Page 1 of 6

Valencia B

(Away)
27 Sept
UD Poblense
1 : 0
Valencia B
23 Sept
West Ham U21
2 : 0
Valencia B
19 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 2
Castellon B
13 Sept
UCAM Murcia
1 : 0
Valencia B
06 Sept
Valencia B
1 : 1
Mallorca B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 La Nucia 4 4 0 0 9:1 12
2 Castellon B 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
3 Castellonense 4 3 0 1 5:3 9
4 CF Intercity 4 2 2 0 6:4 8
5 Alcoyano 4 2 1 1 5:4 7
6 Yeclano 4 2 1 1 3:2 7
7 Orihuela 4 2 1 1 6:7 7
8 UCAM Murcia 4 2 0 2 7:5 6
9 Ciudad Cieza 4 1 2 1 3:3 5
10 Lorca Deportiva 4 1 2 1 2:2 5
11 Deportiva Minera 4 1 2 1 3:4 5
12 Mallorca B 4 1 2 1 2:3 5
13 Ilicitano 4 1 1 2 2:3 4
14 UD Poblense 4 1 0 3 2:5 3
15 Real Murcia B 4 1 0 3 4:8 3
16 Baleares 4 0 2 2 4:8 2
17 Valencia B 4 0 1 3 2:5 1
18 Pena Deportiva 4 0 1 3 1:5 1
Promotion - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Segunda RFEF - Group 1 (Play Out)