Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UCSA vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

51'
Pedro Acacio
57'
Kireev A.
57' Event
Kirichenko D.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Persha Liga 2025/2026 game between UCSA and MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
UCSA
17%
Draws
13%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: UCSA

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • UCSA carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives UCSA a 70% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Persha Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.200000000000003%
UCSA Clean Sheet 68%
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCSA MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 11 5
Draws 5 6
Losses 13 19
Goals Scored 0.88 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.88 2.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 2.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2026 Persha Liga
UCSA vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
1:3
Sep 7, 2025 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs UCSA
0:3
Nov 17, 2024 Persha Liga
UCSA vs MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
2:2
Sep 21, 2024 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs UCSA
1:2
Jun 8, 2024 Persha Liga
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya vs UCSA
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Emere A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya Compare

Top Goalscorer Seytkhalilov S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Yurechko I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCSA 77 / 100
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCSA MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UCS Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Difficult form: MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

UCSA's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

UCSA VS MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0.88 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 2.25
88% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UCSA

(Home)
10 Jul
Obolon
0 : 0
UCSA
04 Jul
Veres Rivne
3 : 0
UCSA
01 Jun
UCSA
3 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
23 May
Metalist Kharkiv
2 : 0
UCSA
15 May
UCSA
0 : 5
Bukovyna
Page 1 of 6

MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya

(Away)
02 Jun
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 4
Bukovyna
29 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 0
FC Chernihiv
22 May
Livyi Bereg
4 : 0
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
10 May
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
0 : 1
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
04 May
MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya
0 : 3
Victoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Bukovyna30263174:2181
2Ch. Odesa30198344:2065
3Livyi Bereg30196550:2163
4Ahrobiznes Volochysk30165936:2853
5Inhulets301210841:3246
6Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)309101133:3337
7Metalist Kharkiv301071331:3537
8Probiy Horodenka301061429:3736
9Fenix Mariupol30991231:3236
10Victoria301061437:3836
11UCSA301061430:4036
12Nyva Ternopil308101224:3434
13FC Chernihiv30871530:3631
14Vorskla Poltava30791423:3630
15FC Podillya Khmelnytskyi30491720:4521
16MFC Metalurh Zaporizhya30471916:6119
17Minaj00000:00
Promotion - Premier League (Main)
Promotion - Premier League 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2025/2026 (Promotion)
Relegation - Druha Liga (Main)