Sport Picks

Stadium Background

UCSA vs Oleksandriya

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Dvorovenko V.
35' Event
Castro P.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Tretyakov M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Persha Liga matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
UCSA
35%
Draws
37%
Oleksandriya
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Oleksandriya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to UCSA lately — more wins on the board than Oleksandriya.
  • Model gives UCSA a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
UCSA Clean Sheet 18%
Oleksandriya Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCSA Oleksandriya
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 11 7
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.32 1.26
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.7
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.31
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Persha Liga
UCSA vs Oleksandriya
4:4
Oct 30, 2024 Ukrainian Cup
UCSA vs Oleksandriya
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Shershen M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castro P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Oleksandriya Compare

Top Goalscorer Tretyakov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dykhtyaruk O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.19
Avg xA / game 0.73

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCSA 41 / 100
Oleksandriya 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCSA Oleksandriya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Oleksandriya conceded in 85% of 27 recent games.

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

UCSA found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Solid form: UCSA remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UCSA VS Oleksandriya
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
1.13 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

UCSA

(Home)
07 Aug
UCSA
1 : 0
Nyva Ternopil
31 Jul
UCSA
4 : 4
Oleksandriya
25 Jul
Zhytomyr 2
2 : 2
UCSA
10 Jul
Obolon
0 : 0
UCSA
04 Jul
Veres Rivne
3 : 0
UCSA
Page 1 of 6

Oleksandriya

(Away)
08 Aug
Oleksandriya
3 : 0
Inhulets
31 Jul
UCSA
4 : 4
Oleksandriya
24 Jul
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Nyva Ternopil
18 Jul
Kolos Kovalivka
2 : 1
Oleksandriya
08 Jul
Oleksandriya
2 : 1
Inhulets
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 4 4 0 0 6:1 12
2 Oleksandriya 4 2 2 0 10:5 8
3 SC Poltava 3 2 1 0 7:1 7
4 Kulikiv 4 2 1 1 6:5 7
5 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 4 2 1 1 4:4 7
6 Metalist Kharkiv 4 2 0 2 5:5 6
7 UCSA 3 1 2 0 7:6 5
8 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 4 1 1 2 6:5 4
9 FC Chernihiv 4 0 4 0 5:5 4
10 Inhulets 3 1 1 1 4:6 4
11 Lokomotyv Kyiv 4 0 3 1 3:4 3
12 Kolos Kovalivka 2 3 1 0 2 2:4 3
13 Nyva Ternopil 3 0 2 1 2:3 2
14 Zhytomyr 2 4 0 2 2 5:7 2
15 Probiy Horodenka 4 0 2 2 4:9 2
16 Fenix Mariupol 3 0 0 3 0:6 0
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)