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UCSA vs Oleksandriya - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Our Tip

Match Events

26'
Dvorovenko V.
35' Event
Castro P.
(Penalty)
40' Event
Tretyakov M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Persha Liga matchup, with the score ending 4-4.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
UCSA
20%
Draws
51%
Oleksandriya
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Oleksandriya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Oleksandriya lately — more wins on the board than UCSA.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
UCSA Clean Sheet 16%
Oleksandriya Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCSA Oleksandriya
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 8 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 1.11 1.46
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.29
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 31, 2026 Persha Liga
UCSA vs Oleksandriya
4:4
Oct 30, 2024 Ukrainian Cup
UCSA vs Oleksandriya
1:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UCSA Compare

Top Goalscorer Shershen M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Castro P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Oleksandriya Compare

Top Goalscorer Tretyakov M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dykhtyaruk O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCSA 31 / 100
Oleksandriya 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCSA Oleksandriya

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.50 goals per match.

UCSA found the back of the net in 61% of recent matches (28 games).

Defensive concern: Oleksandriya conceded in 71% of 28 recent games.

Solid form: UCSA remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

UCSA VS Oleksandriya
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UCSA

(Home)
11 Oct
UCSA
1 : 2
Fenix Mariupol
04 Oct
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
3 : 2
UCSA
26 Sept
UCSA
0 : 0
Victoria
20 Sept
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
1 : 0
UCSA
11 Sept
UCSA
3 : 2
FC Chernihiv
Page 1 of 6

Oleksandriya

(Away)
11 Oct
Oleksandriya
1 : 3
Lokomotyv Kyiv
04 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka 2
0 : 2
Oleksandriya
27 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 1
Fenix Mariupol
20 Sept
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
1 : 0
Oleksandriya
14 Sept
Oleksandriya
1 : 0
Victoria
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 11 6 3 2 14:8 21
2 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 11 6 2 3 18:14 20
3 Oleksandriya 11 5 4 2 16:10 19
4 SC Poltava 11 5 3 3 18:10 18
5 Fenix Mariupol 11 5 3 3 14:12 18
6 Kulikiv 10 5 2 3 20:11 17
7 Lokomotyv Kyiv 11 4 4 3 15:13 16
8 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 11 4 3 4 12:10 15
9 Metalist Kharkiv 11 4 3 4 13:13 15
10 Nyva Ternopil 11 3 5 3 12:10 14
11 Inhulets 10 4 2 4 10:12 14
12 Kolos Kovalivka 2 11 4 0 7 12:20 12
13 UCSA 11 2 4 5 15:19 10
14 FC Chernihiv 10 2 4 4 11:14 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 11 2 2 7 11:29 8
16 Zhytomyr 2 10 1 4 5 14:20 7
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)