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UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Ukraine Ukraine

Persha Liga
Sat, Nov 7, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

UCSA host Probiy Horodenka in the Persha Liga. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Probiy Horodenka have shipped 1.79 goals a game lately, while UCSA have conceded 1.61 and scored 1. Head-to-head, UCSA have won 0 to Probiy Horodenka's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 12, 2026, ending 1:0. xG projections (1.88 - 1.50) back Probiy Horodenka to edge this. Over 2.5 looks the sharpest market angle here.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

16%
UCSA
30%
Draws
54%
Probiy Horodenka
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Probiy Horodenka

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • UCSA haven't matched Probiy Horodenka's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans UCSA's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Persha Liga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
UCSA Clean Sheet 16%
Probiy Horodenka Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UCSA Probiy Horodenka
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 7 9
Draws 7 5
Losses 14 14
Goals Scored 1 1.07
Goals Conceded 1.61 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 12, 2026 Persha Liga
Probiy Horodenka vs UCSA
1:0
Sep 27, 2025 Persha Liga
UCSA vs Probiy Horodenka
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UCSA 36 / 100
Probiy Horodenka 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UCSA Probiy Horodenka

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Probiy Horodenka has conceded goals in 75% of their last 28 outings.

UCSA's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 0.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: UCSA stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UCSA VS Probiy Horodenka
1 Goals Scored 1
2 Goals Conceded 2.75
75% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

UCSA

(Home)
17 Oct
Kolos Kovalivka 2
0 : 0
UCSA
11 Oct
UCSA
1 : 2
Fenix Mariupol
04 Oct
Ahrobiznes Volochysk
3 : 2
UCSA
26 Sept
UCSA
0 : 0
Victoria
20 Sept
Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998)
1 : 0
UCSA
Page 1 of 6

Probiy Horodenka

(Away)
18 Oct
Probiy Horodenka
1 : 1
Zhytomyr 2
10 Oct
Probiy Horodenka
3 : 2
SC Poltava
04 Oct
Kulikiv
1 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
26 Sept
Probiy Horodenka
0 : 2
Lokomotyv Kyiv
19 Sept
Kolos Kovalivka 2
4 : 2
Probiy Horodenka
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Victoria 12 7 3 2 16:9 24
2 Fenix Mariupol 13 7 3 3 20:13 24
3 Ahrobiznes Volochysk 12 7 2 3 19:14 23
4 Kulikiv 12 6 3 3 25:14 21
5 SC Poltava 12 6 3 3 22:10 21
6 Oleksandriya 12 5 5 2 17:11 20
7 Lokomotyv Kyiv 12 4 5 3 15:13 17
8 Prykarpattya Ivano-Frankivsk (1998) 12 4 3 5 12:14 15
9 Metalist Kharkiv 13 4 3 6 13:16 15
10 Nyva Ternopil 12 3 6 3 12:10 15
11 Inhulets 11 4 2 5 11:16 14
12 Kolos Kovalivka 2 12 4 1 7 12:20 13
13 UCSA 12 2 5 5 15:19 11
14 FC Chernihiv 11 2 4 5 12:16 10
15 Probiy Horodenka 12 2 3 7 12:30 9
16 Zhytomyr 2 12 1 5 6 17:25 8
Promotion - Premier League 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Persha Liga (Promotion)
Relegation - Persha Liga (Relegation Group)
Relegation - Druha Liga 2027/2028 (Main)