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UD Alagoana W vs Canoense W

Brazil Brazil

Alagoano Women 2023
UD Alagoana W Logo

UD Alagoana W

4 - 1
FT
Canoense W Logo

Canoense W

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UD Alagoana W in this Alagoano Women 2023 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Alagoana W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
UD Alagoana W
15%
Draws
42%
Canoense W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Alagoana W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • UD Alagoana W have won more games recently than Canoense W.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Canoense W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors UD Alagoana W here — 4 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65%
UD Alagoana W Clean Sheet 19%
Canoense W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Alagoana W Canoense W
Matches Played 45 14
Wins 26 6
Draws 4 0
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 2.91 2.57
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.79
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 17, 2024 Alagoano Women
UD Alagoana W vs Canoense W
4:0
Nov 10, 2024 Alagoano Women
Canoense W vs UD Alagoana W
0:2
Nov 5, 2023 Alagoano Women
UD Alagoana W vs Canoense W
1:0
Oct 15, 2023 Alagoano Women
UD Alagoana W vs Canoense W
4:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Alagoana W 10 / 100
Canoense W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Alagoana W Canoense W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Canoense W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD Alagoana W scored in 73% of their last 45 outings.

Canoense W let in goals in 71% of their last 14 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Canoense W lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Alagoana W VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Alagoana W

(Home)
08 Aug
UD Alagoana W
0 : 4
Vasco W
01 Aug
3B da Amazonia W
4 : 0
UD Alagoana W
25 Jul
UD Alagoana W
2 : 1
Doce Mel W
01 Jun
UD Alagoana W
0 : 2
Acao W
28 May
Ferroviaria W
8 : 0
UD Alagoana W
Page 1 of 9

Canoense W

(Away)
17 Nov
UD Alagoana W
4 : 0
Canoense W
10 Nov
Canoense W
0 : 2
UD Alagoana W
03 Nov
Acaua FC W
2 : 1
Canoense W
20 Oct
Canoense W
4 : 1
CRB W
13 Oct
Guarani de Paripueira W
4 : 2
Canoense W
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 UD Alagoana W 7 7 0 0 55:3 21
2 Acaua FC W 7 6 0 1 39:6 18
3 Guarani de Paripueira W 7 5 0 2 21:13 15
4 Canoense W 7 4 0 3 26:11 12
5 Atletico Alagoano W 7 2 0 5 11:26 6
6 Desportiva Alianca W 7 1 1 5 8:43 4
7 Coruripe W 7 1 1 5 6:49 4
8 CRB W 7 1 0 6 8:23 3
Promotion - Alagoano Women 2023 (Play Offs)