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UD Almansa vs Atletico Ibanes

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Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021 game between UD Almansa and Atletico Ibanes finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
UD Almansa
20%
Draws
40%
Atletico Ibanes
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and UD Almansa come out ahead of Atletico Ibanes on wins alone.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
UD Almansa Clean Sheet 68%
Atletico Ibanes Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Almansa Atletico Ibanes
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 6
Draws 7 14
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.35 0.9
Goals Conceded 1.58 1.3
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 28, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Almansa vs Atletico Ibanes
2:2
Jan 20, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Atletico Ibanes vs UD Almansa
1:0
Mar 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Atletico Ibanes vs UD Almansa
0:0
Oct 20, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Almansa vs Atletico Ibanes
1:1
Mar 18, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
Atletico Ibanes vs UD Almansa
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Almansa 41 / 100
Atletico Ibanes 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Almansa Atletico Ibanes

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Almansa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Almansa found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (31 games).

Atletico Ibanes has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: UD Almansa remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.40 goals.

Scoring Trends

UD Almansa VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Almansa

(Home)
27 Sept
UD Almansa
3 : 1
Huracan de Balazote
19 Sept
Villacanas
0 : 0
UD Almansa
13 Sept
UD Almansa
3 : 0
La Solana
05 Sept
Noblejas
3 : 2
UD Almansa
26 Aug
UD Almansa
2 : 7
Ilicitano
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Atletico Ibanes

(Away)
05 Jun
Azuqueca
3 : 0
Atletico Ibanes
29 May
Atletico Ibanes
2 : 3
Illescas
23 May
Conquense
2 : 2
Atletico Ibanes
15 May
Atletico Ibanes
2 : 0
Madridejos
09 May
CD Pedroneras
0 : 1
Atletico Ibanes
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Albacete B 20 14 3 3 34:9 45
2 Puertollano C.F. 20 13 5 2 38:13 44
3 Quintanar del Rey 20 10 5 5 31:16 35
4 Manchego Ciudad Real 20 7 8 5 21:17 29
5 La Roda 20 8 4 8 16:22 28
6 Huracan de Balazote 20 7 4 9 22:27 25
7 Atletico Ibanes 20 4 11 5 16:21 23
8 UD Almansa 20 6 5 9 19:25 23
9 Manzanares 20 4 6 10 16:31 18
10 La Solana 20 4 5 11 16:29 17
11 Almagro 20 4 2 14 14:33 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Marchamalo 20 14 3 3 25:10 45
2 Toledo 20 11 3 6 31:15 36
3 Torrijos 20 8 8 4 25:18 32
4 Guadalajara 20 9 4 7 27:21 31
5 Villacanas 20 8 6 6 19:16 30
6 CD Tarancon 20 9 2 9 24:19 29
7 Azuqueca 20 8 3 9 22:24 27
8 Illescas 20 6 7 7 18:21 25
9 Conquense 20 6 4 10 16:24 22
10 Madridejos 20 4 3 13 14:35 15
11 CD Pedroneras 20 3 5 12 12:30 14
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021 (Promotion Group)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021 (Second stage)
Relegation - Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021 (Relegation Group)