Sport Picks
UD Almansa vs Marchamalo - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
AI Match Summary
UD Almansa host Marchamalo in the Tercera RFEF - Group 18. Little to choose between these two on current form. UD Almansa have averaged 1.34 scored and 1.59 conceded recently, against Marchamalo's 1.5 scored and 1.09 conceded. Past meetings favor UD Almansa slightly — 1-1-3 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 28, 2018, ending 1:1. Model xG sits at 1.17 vs 0.85, favoring Marchamalo. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Form's been kind to Marchamalo lately — more wins on the board than UD Almansa.
- 42% — that's where the model lands on UD Almansa taking it.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Almansa | Marchamalo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 34 |
| Wins | 10 | 17 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 14 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.34 | 1.5 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.59 | 1.09 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.17 | 0.85 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
UD Almansa scored in 69% of their last 29 games.
Marchamalo has conceded goals in 62% of their last 34 outings.
These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.
UD Almansa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
UD Almansa
(Home)Marchamalo
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Manchego Ciudad Real | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 15 |
| 2 | Villarrobledo | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:1 | 11 |
| 3 | Illescas | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 11 |
| 4 | Torrijos | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 6:2 | 11 |
| 5 | Toledo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 12:6 | 10 |
| 6 | CD Villa | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 7 | Marchamalo | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 10:7 | 8 |
| 8 | CD Tarancon | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10:7 | 7 |
| 9 | UD Almansa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 7 |
| 10 | Villacanas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 11 | Noblejas | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 12 | San Clemente | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:11 | 5 |
| 13 | Socuellamos | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 14 | La Solana | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 15 | Villarrubia | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3:9 | 3 |
| 16 | CD Guadalajara B | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:12 | 2 |
| 17 | Quintanar del Rey | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5:11 | 2 |
| 18 | Huracan de Balazote | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4:14 | 0 |