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UD Almansa vs San Jose Obrero

Spain Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2015/2016
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Match Events

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AI Match Summary

UD Almansa host San Jose Obrero in the Tercera Division - Group 18 2015/2016. Form suggests where the edge lies here. UD Almansa have averaged 1 scored and 1.5 conceded recently, against San Jose Obrero's 0 scored and 0 conceded. Past meetings favor UD Almansa slightly — 1-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 24, 2016, ending 3:1. Model xG sits at 1.10 vs 1.25, favoring UD Almansa. UD Almansa in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
UD Almansa
6%
Draws
4%
San Jose Obrero
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: UD Almansa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • UD Almansa has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to San Jose Obrero.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for UD Almansa.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Tercera Division - Group 18 2015/2016 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
UD Almansa Clean Sheet 19%
San Jose Obrero Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Almansa San Jose Obrero
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 6
Draws 5 6
Losses 14 18
Goals Scored 1 0
Goals Conceded 1.5 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 24, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
UD Almansa vs San Jose Obrero
3:1
Sep 6, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 18
San Jose Obrero vs UD Almansa
4:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Almansa 85 / 100
San Jose Obrero 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Almansa San Jose Obrero

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Almansa scored in 71% of their last 31 games.

San Jose Obrero let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

UD Almansa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

San Jose Obrero lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

UD Almansa VS -
1 Goals Scored 0
1.5 Goals Conceded 0
75% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Conquense382441054:2676
2Almagro382210664:3376
3Azuqueca382010858:3170
4UD Almansa381715654:3566
5Quintanar del Rey3817111038:2962
6Madridejos3816121047:4560
7Illescas3816101250:4758
8Villarrobledo381591444:3854
9Marchamalo3814101451:5352
10Manchego Ciudad Real381491541:3651
11Toledo 2381491550:4851
12Villarrubia3812121434:3448
13CD Pedroneras3812121436:4248
14Albacete B3810161247:5146
15Mora CF381371843:4846
16Manzanares3811121539:4345
17Atletico Ibanes389151429:4242
18La Gineta38882241:6132
19San Jose Obrero387102137:7031
20Munera CF38572628:7322