Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera Division - Group 6 2011/2012

Crevillente

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

UD Altea play Crevillente in the Tercera Division - Group 6 2011/2012. Crevillente are favorites here. Recently, UD Altea averaged 0.7 goals scored and 2.77 conceded. Crevillente averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.22 conceded. In past meetings, UD Altea won 1, Crevillente won 0, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 19, 2012 ended 1:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.42 for UD Altea and 1.24 for Crevillente. This points to a Crevillente double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%

UD Altea

21%

Draws

60%

Crevillente

Draw rate projection: 21% Favored: Crevillente

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

89% / Very High Confidence

UD Altea picked up more points recently compared to Crevillente.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.42 vs 1.24 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 55%

Over 3.5 Goals 33%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 49%

UD Altea Clean Sheet 19%

Crevillente Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Altea	Crevillente
Matches Played	30	46
Wins	2	20
Draws	5	11
Losses	23	15
Goals Scored	0.7	1.41
Goals Conceded	2.77	1.22

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

UD Altea vs Crevillente

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 2 - 2

1:1

Sep 21, 2011 Tercera RFEF - Group 6

Crevillente vs UD Altea

Possession: 56% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Altea 21 / 100

Crevillente 56 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Altea Crevillente

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Crevillente Win (2)

Secondary Pick Crevillente & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +72.7%

9.09

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.2%

2.04

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

UD Altea attacking → ← attacking Crevillente

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

UD Altea scored in 43% of their last 30 games.

Crevillente let in goals in 67% of their last 46 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

UD Altea went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Crevillente lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

11 Points in last 5 71

0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.38

0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Catarroja CF	42	27	11	4	78:34	92
2	Levante B	42	28	8	6	74:32	92
3	Muro	42	25	6	11	83:56	81
4	Alzira	42	22	13	7	62:33	79
5	Acero	42	24	6	12	70:42	78
6	La Nucia	42	23	9	10	71:41	78
7	Torrevieja	42	21	11	10	64:36	74
8	Novelda CF	42	21	9	12	57:50	72
9	Castellon	42	20	9	13	47:40	69
10	Jove	42	18	8	16	67:53	62
11	Villarreal C	42	18	8	16	82:59	62
12	Borriol	42	16	11	15	72:67	59
13	Atletico Saguntino	42	14	10	18	47:50	52
14	Eldense	42	14	8	20	54:64	50
15	Ribarroja	42	14	7	21	47:50	49
16	Crevillente	42	12	11	19	48:66	47
17	CD Llosa	42	11	12	19	55:67	45
18	SC Requena	42	12	7	23	57:72	43
19	Alicante	42	7	8	27	37:91	29
20	Mislata	42	7	6	29	45:92	27
21	UD Juventud Barrio del Cristo	42	5	12	25	35:78	27
22	UD Altea	42	5	6	31	29:108	21