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UD Aretxabaleta vs CD Betono - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

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Tercera Division - Group 4 2015/2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 4 2015/2016 game between UD Aretxabaleta and CD Betono finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
UD Aretxabaleta
35%
Draws
13%
CD Betono
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: UD Aretxabaleta

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • UD Aretxabaleta carry the better recent record into this one.
  • UD Aretxabaleta are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 4 2015/2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
UD Aretxabaleta Clean Sheet 15%
CD Betono Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric UD Aretxabaleta CD Betono
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 6 8
Losses 13 17
Goals Scored 1.48 1.03
Goals Conceded 1.71 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.35 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 17, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
UD Aretxabaleta vs CD Betono
2:2
Nov 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4
CD Betono vs UD Aretxabaleta
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Aretxabaleta 84 / 100
CD Betono 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
UD Aretxabaleta CD Betono

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick UD Aretxabaleta Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

CD Betono's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Attacking prowess: UD Aretxabaleta scored in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

UD Aretxabaleta has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UD Aretxabaleta VS -
1.5 Goals Scored 0
2.13 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

UD Aretxabaleta

(Home)
03 Oct
Lagun Onak
1 : 2
UD Aretxabaleta
26 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
1 : 2
Derio
19 Sept
SCD Durango
0 : 0
UD Aretxabaleta
13 Sept
UD Aretxabaleta
0 : 0
Beasain
05 Sept
Touring KE
0 : 1
UD Aretxabaleta
Page 1 of 7

CD Betono

(Away)
14 May
Balmaseda
2 : 1
CD Betono
06 May
CD Betono
1 : 3
Basconia
30 Apr
Pasaia
2 : 2
CD Betono
23 Apr
CD Betono
0 : 1
Beasain
17 Apr
UD Aretxabaleta
2 : 2
CD Betono
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Zamudio 38 22 8 8 65:40 74
2 Bermeo 38 19 10 9 57:35 67
3 Lagun Onak 38 17 15 6 39:26 66
4 Balmaseda 38 18 10 10 50:35 64
5 Beasain 38 17 12 9 54:36 63
6 CD Vitoria 38 17 10 11 47:32 61
7 Santutxu FC 38 14 11 13 39:33 53
8 Pasaia 38 15 8 15 36:48 53
9 Zalla UC 38 13 13 12 54:43 52
10 SCD Durango 38 11 17 10 29:34 50
11 Deportivo Getxo 38 12 12 14 43:38 48
12 Alaves B 38 13 9 16 54:52 48
13 Real Sociedad C 38 12 11 15 45:48 47
14 Basconia 38 13 8 17 53:62 47
15 Santurtzi 38 10 15 13 40:46 45
16 SD Deusto 38 10 15 13 38:46 45
17 Aurrera Ondarroa 38 11 8 19 50:76 41
18 Aurrera de Vitoria 38 8 14 16 33:50 38
19 CD Betono 38 7 11 20 36:56 32
20 UD Aretxabaleta 38 5 15 18 34:60 30
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2015/2016 (Main)