Sport Picks
UD Aretxabaleta vs Eibar C - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Spain
Tercera RFEF - Group 4 
AI Match Summary
UD Aretxabaleta host Eibar C in the Tercera RFEF - Group 4. This one's hard to separate. Eibar C have shipped 1.45 goals a game lately, while UD Aretxabaleta have conceded 1.76 and scored 1.62. Past meetings favor Eibar C slightly — 1-2-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Feb 7, 2026, ending 4:2. The numbers (1.31 xG vs 1.31) point toward UD Aretxabaleta. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- UD Aretxabaleta have won more games recently than Eibar C.
- Win probability leans UD Aretxabaleta's way, sitting at 50%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Aretxabaleta | Eibar C |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 12 | 8 |
| Draws | 5 | 9 |
| Losses | 12 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.62 | 1.45 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.45 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.31 | 1.31 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Eibar C's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.
UD Aretxabaleta scored in 79% of their last 29 games.
Games between these two average 2.75 goals.
UD Aretxabaleta went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
UD Aretxabaleta
(Home)Eibar C
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aurrera de Vitoria | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 12:8 | 16 |
| 2 | Leioa | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 16:6 | 12 |
| 3 | Derio | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 8:3 | 12 |
| 4 | UD Aretxabaleta | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:5 | 11 |
| 5 | Real Sociedad C | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 11:10 | 11 |
| 6 | Alaves C | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:6 | 10 |
| 7 | Pasaia | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:10 | 10 |
| 8 | San Ignacio | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 10:8 | 8 |
| 9 | Touring KE | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 8 |
| 10 | Sodupe | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:9 | 8 |
| 11 | SCD Durango | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9:9 | 7 |
| 12 | Beasain | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | 7 |
| 13 | Lagun Onak | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:9 | 7 |
| 14 | SD Erandio | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6:8 | 6 |
| 15 | Santurtzi | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3:7 | 6 |
| 16 | Eibar C | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | 5 |
| 17 | Real Union B | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:12 | 5 |
| 18 | Amurrio Club | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:13 | 1 |
