Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4

UD Aretxabaleta

2 - 5

Real Sociedad C

Our Tip

Match Events

Lasa Sanz J.

10'

Gorosabel J.

25'

Nebreda E.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Real Sociedad C in this Tercera RFEF - Group 4 matchup, with the score ending 2-5 — backing the pre-match view that favored Real Sociedad C.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

UD Aretxabaleta

Draws

90%

Real Sociedad C

Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Real Sociedad C

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Real Sociedad C lately — more wins on the board than UD Aretxabaleta.
90% — that's where the model lands on Real Sociedad C taking it.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

UD Aretxabaleta Clean Sheet 11%

Real Sociedad C Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	UD Aretxabaleta	Real Sociedad C
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	11	15
Draws	5	4
Losses	14	11
Goals Scored	1.38	1.38
Goals Conceded	2.25	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.38	1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	2.25	1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

UD Aretxabaleta vs Real Sociedad C

Possession: 57% - 45% Cards: 4 - 4

2:5

Dec 20, 2025 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Real Sociedad C vs UD Aretxabaleta

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

2:0

Jan 9, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Real Sociedad C vs UD Aretxabaleta

Possession: 57% - 52% Cards: 4 - 2

1:2

Aug 23, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 4

UD Aretxabaleta vs Real Sociedad C

Possession: 55% - 57% Cards: 1 - 0

0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

UD Aretxabaleta Compare

Top Goalscorer Lasa Sanz J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Zumarraga E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.06

Avg xA / game 0.69

Real Sociedad C Compare

Top Goalscorer Gorosabel J.

3 Goals

Assists Leader Nebreda E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

UD Aretxabaleta 10 / 100

Real Sociedad C 83 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

UD Aretxabaleta Real Sociedad C

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick RSO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: UD Aretxabaleta scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

Real Sociedad C has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

UD Aretxabaleta has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

UD Aretxabaleta VS Real Sociedad C

1.38 Goals Scored 1.38

2.25 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 63%

88% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugalete	34	24	6	4	70:29	78
2	Leioa	34	18	7	9	50:34	61
3	Derio	34	17	7	10	54:40	58
4	Lagun Onak	34	17	6	11	54:34	57
5	Touring KE	34	16	9	9	47:35	57
6	Real Sociedad C	34	17	4	13	48:39	55
7	San Ignacio	34	16	7	11	37:27	55
8	Aurrera de Vitoria	34	16	6	12	42:41	54
9	Alaves C	34	15	8	11	57:40	53
10	UD Aretxabaleta	34	13	6	15	56:61	45
11	SCD Durango	34	11	11	12	35:36	44
12	Santurtzi	34	9	12	13	32:45	39
13	Eibar C	34	9	9	16	44:53	36
14	Pasaia	34	9	9	16	26:46	36
15	Anorga	34	11	4	19	37:59	34
16	Zamudio	34	9	6	19	42:59	33
17	Zarautz KE	34	8	6	20	30:60	30
18	SD Deusto	34	6	7	21	26:49	25