Sport Picks
UD Badajoz vs Extremadura UD
Spain
Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 
AI Match Summary
UD Badajoz in this Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored UD Badajoz.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
85%
15%
0%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: UD Badajoz
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
85%
/ Very High Confidence
- Extremadura UD haven't matched UD Badajoz's recent run of results.
- Model gives UD Badajoz a 85% chance of winning this.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 14 2012/2013 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
UD Badajoz Clean Sheet 20%
Extremadura UD Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | UD Badajoz | Extremadura UD |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 35 |
| Wins | 21 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 2 |
| Losses | 4 | 27 |
| Goals Scored | 2 | 1.03 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.5 | 2.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.42 | 0.80 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 23, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UD Badajoz vs Extremadura UD
3:2
Oct 31, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Extremadura UD vs UD Badajoz
0:1
Apr 28, 2013 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UD Badajoz vs Extremadura UD
1:0
Dec 9, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
Extremadura UD vs UD Badajoz
0:0
Apr 1, 2012 Tercera RFEF - Group 14
UD Badajoz vs Extremadura UD
1:1
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
UD Badajoz 85 / 100
Extremadura UD 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
UD Badajoz Extremadura UD
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick UD Badajoz Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: UD Badajoz scored in 87% of their last 30 outings.
Extremadura UD's defensive record shows goals conceded in 94% of 35 matches.
Away concern: Extremadura UD has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.
Games between these two average 1.80 goals.
Scoring Trends
- VS Extremadura UD
0 Goals Scored 0.5
0 Goals Conceded 3.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
UD Badajoz
(Home) 25 May
Haro Deportivo
2 : 1 UD Badajoz
18 May
UD Badajoz
1 : 1 Haro Deportivo
11 May
Diter Zafra
1 : 2 UD Badajoz
04 May
UD Badajoz
2 : 0 Don Benito
01 May
UP Plasencia
0 : 2 UD Badajoz
Page 1 of 6
18 May
UD Badajoz
1 : 1 Haro Deportivo
04 May
UD Badajoz
2 : 0 Don Benito
27 Apr
UD Badajoz
5 : 0 Hernan Cortes
17 Apr
UD Badajoz
0 : 0 CD Coria
06 Apr
UD Badajoz
2 : 0 Fuente de Cantos
Page 1 of 3
Extremadura UD
(Away) 29 May
Racing Santander
2 : 0 Extremadura UD
22 May
Extremadura UD
0 : 2 Real Union
15 May
Zamora
2 : 0 Extremadura UD
07 May
Extremadura UD
0 : 2 Dep. A Coruna
01 May
SD Logrones
2 : 0 Extremadura UD
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29 May
Racing Santander
2 : 0 Extremadura UD
15 May
Zamora
2 : 0 Extremadura UD
01 May
SD Logrones
2 : 0 Extremadura UD
17 Apr
Tudelano
2 : 0 Extremadura UD
26 Mar
Valladolid Promesas
2 : 0 Extremadura UD
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Extremadura UD | 38 | 27 | 8 | 3 | 75:14 | 89 |
| 2 | UD Badajoz | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 67:24 | 80 |
| 3 | Don Benito | 38 | 23 | 10 | 5 | 55:23 | 79 |
| 4 | Diter Zafra | 38 | 22 | 11 | 5 | 57:23 | 77 |
| 5 | Jerez CF | 38 | 16 | 11 | 11 | 51:37 | 59 |
| 6 | Merida UD | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 47:38 | 56 |
| 7 | Ciduad de Plasencia | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 50:38 | 55 |
| 8 | UP Plasencia | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 55:47 | 55 |
| 9 | Santa Amalia | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 52:54 | 53 |
| 10 | CD Coria | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 47:48 | 51 |
| 11 | Atletico San Jose Promesas | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 44:58 | 48 |
| 12 | Pueblonuevo | 38 | 11 | 10 | 17 | 41:60 | 43 |
| 13 | Miajadas | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 40:56 | 43 |
| 14 | RCP Valverdeno | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 40:56 | 42 |
| 15 | Hernan Cortes | 38 | 11 | 8 | 19 | 36:64 | 41 |
| 16 | Cacereno II | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 48:57 | 40 |
| 17 | Fuente de Cantos | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:68 | 39 |
| 18 | Moralo | 38 | 7 | 17 | 14 | 33:52 | 38 |
| 19 | Emerita Augusta | 38 | 8 | 7 | 23 | 44:77 | 31 |
| 20 | Valdelacalzada | 38 | 7 | 7 | 24 | 35:65 | 28 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2012/2013 (Main)
